In this guide, we will voice our own and market’s opinion on ETN future while discussing Electroneum price forecast for 2021 and beyond.
Please bear in mind that you should take this and any other prediction with a grain of salt since predicting anything is a thankless task, let alone predicting the future of a novel, highly volatile financial asset like ETN.
Now, let’s head into it.
Before we delve deep into the Electroneum price prediction and answer questions if Electroneum is a good investment or not, why will ETN succeed or fail or why will ETN price rise or drop, let’s quickly throw a glance at what is Electroneum and its to date history.
Electroneum (ETN), is a British cryptocurrency that was originally developed to be used in the mobile gaming and online gambling markets. They have since pivoted to add more use cases and essentially aim to be cheaper, mobile-friendlier and faster bitcoin. The name of the company and the currency is derived from “the electron which all cryptocurrencies rely on.” Electroneum is built on its own bitcoin-derived blockchain and claims to be “the world’s first common cryptocurrency.”
It aims to be a huge change of pace in the market and is designed with mobile-friendliness, fast transactions, and easy micropayments in mind. According to its website, Electroneum has the benefits of Bitcoin and other assets, but claims to be a vast leap forward over its cryptocurrency competitors. Also, Electroneum is built for widespread common usage and offers “groundbreaking ease-of-use for the ordinary mobile user,” which means that it could be a powerful investment opportunity that will almost certainly increase in value.
That all sounds good. However, there are many other cryptos that make similar claims. And a lot of them are already in the crypto graveyard because promising is easy, delivering on the promises is hard. Electroneum had a tough year behind it, price-wise it is in a gutter (just like the rest of the market) but the team appeared to produce some updates and there was some activity around the project.
In January 2020, ETN made cosmetic changes to their “mobile mining” system.
They renamed the mobile mining into Electroneum Rewards – ETN Rewards. They will essentially give out $3 per user every month for interacting with their app. They are essentially mining, but not coins but your data. And, I would assume, just sell your data to advertisers and make money of the desperate holders, again.
Bleak years behind Electroneum
We already covered the bleak future of Electroneum in the eyes of respectable crypto analysts Nic Carter with one of them saying:
“Like most ICOs, it’s a priori nonsense, but it did enjoy a brief moment in the sun as the development team (whose main expertise is online marketing) managed to drum up substantial hype, leading the asset to peak at a $900m market cap. In fact, one of my abiding memories of the late 2017 mania was sitting on a plane next to an earnest young fellow who informed me that his favorite cryptocurrency was Electroneum because you could mine it on your phone. Of course, this wasn’t actually mining, but rather an empty proof of time concept whereby you were allocated units of ETN just for having the app open.
It doesn’t take much to realize that ETN is hollow. It’s a generic ICOed fork of Monero with no distinguishing features by a team with no technical expertise. Some minimal development is ongoing, albeit at a very slow pace.
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Notable event: The highlight of 2018 was the ETN team forcing every ICO investor into a KYC process.
Verdict: Electroneum is in a purgatory where it’s obviously a failed project but still piddling along until the SEC makes their way down the list and makes the team give all the money back.”
How to evaluate fundamentals of a crypto project
We should consider crypto valuations like educated gambling, a ‘prediction market’ where we are betting on the odds of project and token success. There are some catalysts of success we can identify:
- Project success drivers (user traction, strong financial bottomline, good treasury management, network effects/synergies between users and token investors)
Real user traction is the most important driver of success, that is what most of holders call “adoption”. If people start using certain crypto project because they find it useful and it makes their life easier, that is a guarantee of success. So far, almost no crypto project can claim to have done so.
Strong financial warchest that will enable teams behind the project to develop their visions, incentivize other developers to join them and start using their product is also a crucial aspect of any project. Tied into it is treasury management – especially for the project that had big ICO proceeds. Temptation to squander all those millions into “conferences and events” (read hard-core partying on yachts and luxury hotels) was massive, especially if we consider that majority of token projects founders were no-names and ordinary employees that worked for a paycheck before the ICO fairy-tale happened to them.
Another adoption indicator – network effects, where every additional user of a good or service adds to the value of that product to others. When a network effect is present, the value of a product or service increases according to the number of others using it.
If you can objectively notice that your favorite token project has some of these traits happening for it, be happy – you might have found a winner.
- Token success drivers (favourable demand-supply dynamics, programmable incentives on token, aligned incentives with management team and consensus on token as common unit of value creation).
Token success is completely dependent on tokenomics. As defined by infloat.co, tokenomics involves the incentivization of certain stakeholders to ensure particular behavior.
Read our updated review of Binance here.
So, tokenomics is essentially an incentive structure designed to ensure that a token has a purpose and utility within its native network. It is the study of how coins/tokens work within the broader ecosystem that can be considered as a sovereign micro-economy. This includes such things like token distribution as well as how they can be used to incentivize positive behaviour in the network.
For example, bitcoin is designed to ensure that bitcoin miners have a reason to mine new bitcoin. Miners validate bitcoin transactions and receive (or create) newly minted bitcoin in the process.
On the other hand, individuals, businesses and other bitcoin users pay a transaction fee for miners to include their transaction in the next block. This ensures that even when all bitcoin have been minted (to the tune of 21 million, which should happen in around 2140), bitcoin miners are still incentivized to keep ‘mining’ (i.e. validating transactions).
To paraphrase all of the above in the simplest terms: if you, after weeks of research and reading, can’t figure out why the project needs to have a token, it probably doesn’t.
So why does the token exist then?
– To make the project founders rich.
But there are some people on Twitter, Reddit, Telegram claiming otherwise.
-Yes, they are either: paid to do so by those same founders, they are desperate and delusional bad holders or they are just stroking their own ego with newly learned fancy economic terms and jargon.
Needless to say – stay clear of such projects.
Market Movements and Sentiment Shift
The downfall of altcoins that were mainstream media darlings at the start of the year, ETN among them, can be attributed, in part, to novice investors getting scared off once the bear market kicked in with a vengeance. Every resurgence of bitcoin in recent period, was met with the inability of altcoins to rally with it. Reason for that can be rookie investors learning from their mistakes, while smart money that was previously watching from the sidelines has begun to enter.
These entities weren’t about to buy BTC when it was trading at an all-time high, but they’ll take a look now, having missed the boat the first time around. None of them, it seems, are interested in altcoins however, despite the fact that many are trading at a 5x discount. Institutional investors may be cautious, but they’re not foolish.
Captainaltcoin’s ETN Price Prediction 2021
ETN, as the rest of the market, is tied at the hip of bitcoin’s price action. If bitcoin embarks on another bull run, ETN can hope for one as well. Bitcoin usually has a cool-off phase after its mega bull runs and that is when the altcoins take over and have a field day with the bulls, often doubling or tripling their price within days.
With the pandemic breakout, the world was sent into hybernation for couple of mETNhs and it reflected negatively on the cryptocurrencies, sending bitcoin downhill as we witnessed even 40% daily losses. However, situation quickly stabilized and bitcoin as the flagbearer took the crypto market back up. We are in a major bull run since the summer and, if we are listening to the analytics from social media and journalistic desks, we are far away from its local zenith.
What this means for ETN price in 2021?
As long as bitcoin is in the main role and pulling upwards, there is little room for ETN to shine. It will, however, increase its USD denominated value thanks to the overall rise in crypto prices. Nevertheless, ETN to BTC ratio will probably slump, possibly to all-time lows. This means that it is best to keep your funds in bitcoin until it reaches its provisional peak, opening the doors for the altcoin to enter the scene. ETN will NOT be among the top candidates to record big gains, as the money usually flows from bitcoin profits to bluechip altcoins and big cap coins before trickling down to the less known and smaller projects.
The majority of projects will fail — some startups are created just to gather funds and disappear, some would not handle the competition, but most are just ideas that look good on paper, but in reality, are useless for the market.
Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum said:
“There are some good ideas, there are a lot of very bad ideas, and there are a lot of very, very bad ideas, and quite a few scams as well”
As a result, over 95% of successful ICOs and cryptocurrency projects will fail and their investors will lose money. The other 5% of projects will become the new Apple, Google or Alibaba in the cryptoindustry. Will ETN be among those 5%? Hard to tell but probability for that is pretty low.
All of this summed up means one thing: ETN might live through couple of orchestrated and, for a regular trader, completely unpredictable pumps but the majority of time will be murky sideways trading with tiny volume and no real interest from the market. Price will heavily depend on what BTC will do and since many analysts think BTC will not be making big moves in this year, it is hard to expect ETN will do them either. The price will probably leak slowly, drip by drip to even lower levels than this current one as the founders and big whales liquidate their bags.
All in all, not a good forecast for ETN price in 2021.
Enthusiasm is waning
If we are honest, ETN stands a minuscule chance of reaching a massive adoption and without it, this coin has no point and looks more like a marketing ingenuity of its founders than a revolutionary tech.
The amount of social media shilling of ETN is slipping, obscure Twitter and Reddit users who used to defend it to death are suddenly inactive. Excessive social media presence of a project with similar pattern of behaviour among allegedly different users is a good indicator that it is all engineered and orchestrated by someone. These accounts usually put out vague and hyperbolic statements, spewing out “facts” that no one can verify and vitriolically attack anyone who dares to criticize the so wonderful project that “they are not affiliated with in any way”. They are just white knights fighting for world justice.
For more detailed critique of their whitepaper, technicals and initial stages of their development – check this article out.
Electroneum Price Prediction 2025 -2030
There will be no ETN in 2025 or 2030. It will be a distant memory in the heads of hundreds of cheated crypto investors that once thought they will get rich by owning ETN coins.
I am not saying ETN is a scam but their bar is set so high that even much bigger companies and more competent engineers would have trouble to reach it. Don’t get to excited by the cool concepts you hear from the team, the more big words you hear from a project, the more skeptical you should be. Everybody is “revolutionizing” something in crypto space, but in most cases, only their pockets get to see a revolution.
CaptainAltcoin's writers and guest post authors may or may not have a vested interest in any of the mentioned projects and businesses. None of the content on CaptainAltcoin is investment advice nor is it a replacement for advice from a certified financial planner. The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of CaptainAltcoin.com