In our last XRP weekly prediction, we said the price would likely stay stuck between $1.08 and $1.15. Buyers needed a reason to move, and nothing showed up. That’s exactly what happened. ,
The XRP price held that lower level, got rejected near the top, and spent the whole week going nowhere. The bulls never made it to $1.20. The bears couldn’t break $1.08 either, demand kept showing up on every dip.
Ripple’s XRP is now $1.10, up 0.8% in a day, but Bitcoin is doing better, pulling in more money. This week tells us if XRP finally breaks loose or stays trapped in that same old box.
What you'll learn 👉
Catalysts Driving the XRP Price This New Week
One of the biggest talking points this week is the DTCC’s collateral classification. Since XRP trades near $1, the DTCC slaps it with a harsh rule: any security under $5 is treated as risky collateral. That lets banks and funds take haircuts up to 100% if they use XRP. Basically, they could lose their whole value on paper.
So for big finance, XRP is a poor choice for settling trades. It’s too easy to write off. That keeps XRP on the sidelines, no matter how much retail loves it. Until the XRP price climbs higher, or the rule changes, institutions won’t touch it for serious money moves. This does not directly affect retail traders, but it creates another hurdle for broader institutional participation unless XRP can sustain prices above the $5 threshold.
There is also encouraging news coming from Europe. Ripple Payments Europe SA is now listed on the European Securities and Markets Authority’s MiCA register, giving the company permission to operate across 30 European Economic Area countries.
That expands Ripple’s regulatory footprint outside the United States and gives the business another avenue for growth. At the same time, analysts continue watching XRP’s technical setup, with many pointing to a breakout above $1.12-$1.18 as the level that could open the door toward $1.45-$1.60.
The derivatives market is also looking healthier than it did a few months ago. XRP’s leverage ratio on Binance is back down to where it was in early 2024. It got way too high during the 2025 bull run.
Now that it’s lower, there are fewer overleveraged bets that can blow up and cause panic selling. That takes some pressure off the downside and gives the market a cleaner floor to build from. Less risk of sudden liquidations means the next big move, whenever it comes, won’t be as messy.
What Is the XRP Chart Showing?
We took a look at the chart, and it’s stuck in the same box it’s been in all week. It’s trading right around $1.096. The floor underneath is holding at $1.08, but the ceiling up near $1.11-$1.12 is still too tough to crack. Until it breaks one way or the other, it’s just going to drift sideways.
The indicators show a little bit of life, but nothing crazy. The Ultimate Oscillator is at 54.11, which is just a nudge above the halfway mark. That means there’s still fuel in the tank if buyers show up, but nobody’s getting overly excited yet.
The MACD is starting to turn around too. The main line just crossed back above the signal line, with a tiny green bar showing up on the histogram. It’s not a big move, but it tells you the sellers are losing their grip after last week’s stall.
The structure of the price action still looks okay. Since bouncing off $1.06 a couple weeks ago, each low has been a little higher than the last. But every time they try to push higher, they hit a wall at $1.12. So the XRP price is getting squeezed into a smaller and smaller space. It feels like both sides are just waiting for something real to happen before they make their next move.
Related XRP News: We Asked Grok and DeepSeek AI to Predict the Price of XRP and Ethereum By the End of September
Where Will Ripple’s XRP Price Go This Week?
If buyers manage to push past $1.12 and trading picks up, XRP could test $1.15, the same spot that stopped it cold last week. If it breaks above that cleanly, $1.18 comes into play. And if Ripple keeps expanding in Europe and buyers stay interested, $1.20 could be on the table.
But the more likely outcome is another week stuck between $1.08 and $1.15. The chart is balanced. The indicators are right in the middle. There’s no one thing big enough to force a real breakout yet. So traders are probably going to keep waiting, for clearer regulatory news or for the rest of the crypto market to give them a reason to move.
The bearish case begins if Ripple’s XRP price loses $1.08. That would expose $1.05, with the psychologically important $1.00 level becoming the next major support. Continued institutional caution following the DTCC collateral classification or renewed weakness across the broader crypto market would increase the chances of that scenario unfolding.
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