In our last Kaspa price prediction, we said a break above $0.030 could open the door to $0.0315 and then $0.033, and a move below $0.0285 could send KAS to $0.0270.
That bearish scenario played out almost perfectly. Kaspa dipped under support and dropped down to the $0.027 zone before buyers stepped in. Right now, it’s trading at $0.0277, down about half a percent over the last day. That’s happening even as the rest of the crypto market is up nearly 1%.
The main issue is weak momentum on the charts, it’s just not keeping up. But there are a few fundamental updates brewing that could decide whether the Kaspa price finally finds a bottom this week.
What you'll learn 👉
Catalysts Driving the KAS Price This Week
Developer activity continues moving in the opposite direction to the market price. Kaspa just got a major upgrade. The Toccata network update brought in covenant-style programmability and the groundwork for zero-knowledge proofs, basically, new tools that let developers build more advanced applications directly on the network.
Following the #Toccata update on the #Kaspa network, recent data indicates a significant surge in developer activity despite stagnant market prices.
— ASHX𐤊ASPA (@Ashishrathodind) July 19, 2026
This technological milestone introduced covenant-style programmability and infrastructure for zero-knowledge proofs, allowing for… pic.twitter.com/dVPQgTO3WB
And developers are paying attention. GitHub activity just hit its highest point this year, with new repositories popping up at a faster rate than we’ve seen in all of 2026.
Kaspa’s ecosystem is also showing progress on scalability. Community testing found Kaspa’s EVM layers completed stress tests with transaction costs reported to be 200 times cheaper than Ethereum’s mainnet, all secured by Kaspa’s proof-of-work consensus. If developers continue deploying applications, lower execution costs could become a competitive advantage.
Did you know.
— Travladd 𐤊 (@OfficialTravlad) July 19, 2026
Kaspa's EVM layers passed a full stress test and results presented 200x cheaper than Ethereum mainnet.
All settling on a POW.
BUT one sits at $225B and one at $768M pic.twitter.com/lw65YHb8g1
Tokenomics are slowly improving as inflation continues to fall. Estimates show circulating supply growth could fall to only 2.2% within the next year, reducing new token issuance.
Also, Kaspa’s MVRV ratio stands at 0.784, meaning the average holder remains below their purchase price. Previous readings near this level have often appeared close to major market bottoms, although they have never guaranteed an immediate recovery.
Kaspa mVRV is at 0.784, back below the fair-value line of 1.
— Kaspa Daily (@DailyKaspa) July 16, 2026
In plain terms: the average KAS holder is currently underwater on their cost basis. The market is pricing the network below what holders collectively paid for their coins.
Historically for $KAS, readings this low have… pic.twitter.com/sTWGnF3UgF
What Is the KAS Chart Showing?
We had a look at the chart and found sellers remain in control despite the latest bounce. Back in June, it peaked above $0.034. Since then, it’s been making lower highs and lower lows. That’s the definition of a downtrend, it’s still intact.
The bounce off $0.0272 did slow the fall. But buyers haven’t been able to take back the old support zone around $0.0285 to $0.0290. That zone is now the first hurdle. Until they clear it, momentum can’t really turn around.
The RSI is at 52.94. That means momentum has crawled back to neutral after being under pressure for a while.
The Stochastic is also at 52.94, balanced, neither side in control. The Ultimate Oscillator is at 46.80, which tells you buying pressure is still weak.
And one more thing, volatility has been drying up over the last week. The price isn’t moving much anymore. Candles have become much smaller than those printed in late June and early July, which often happens before the market makes its next decisive move.
Related Kaspa News: Kaspa (KAS) Price Enters Historic Value Zone as $42.9M Whale Accumulates
Where Will Kaspa (KAS) Price Go This Week?
If things go right:
Buyers need to push past $0.0285. If they do, $0.0300 comes back into play. And if they can close above that, $0.0315 becomes the next target, especially if more developers keep building on Kaspa and the lower inflation rate starts pulling in new buyers.
If things stay the same:
Most likely, we’re looking at more of the same, sideways between $0.0270 and $0.0285. The momentum has leveled off, but there’s nothing big enough yet to push price out of this box.
If things go wrong:
Losing $0.0270 could send it back down to $0.0265. And if the broader crypto market weakens, it could drop even further. As long as the KAS price keeps making lower highs, sellers are still the ones in control.
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