Buyers keep showing up every time XRP slides toward $1.08, and that pattern is starting to look like the whole story for this coin right now. The token is holding on for now, but the chart underneath that defense tells a more complicated story than the price alone suggests. Whether this support holds through the next few sessions could decide a great deal about where XRP heads next.
XRP is currently trading near $1.095, a level that puts it right on top of the $1.08 zone that has acted as a floor for weeks now. Analyst Diana, who posts under the handle @InvestWithD, pointed out that this defense has held so far, even as pressure builds underneath the surface. Price remains stuck below a cluster of moving averages placed near $1.11 to $1.12, and that ceiling has proven difficult to crack.
A former triangle support level has also given way, a detail Diana pointed to in her breakdown of the four-hour timeframe. The Relative Strength Index reads near 39, below its own signal line around 45, and that gap points to momentum that remains weak despite the bounce buyers have managed near support. None of this means the level breaks tomorrow, but it does mean the bulls have work left to do before anyone calls this recovered.
🚨 XRP IS FIGHTING TO DEFEND $1.08 — BUT A BREAKDOWN COULD TRIGGER A 21% DROP TOWARD $0.86 🤯⚠️$XRP is trading near $1.095 as buyers continue defending the critical $1.08 support zone. 👀
— Diana (@InvestWithD) July 25, 2026
So far, the level is holding, but the 4H chart still shows pressure:
❌ Price remains… https://t.co/WDSyJavJPl pic.twitter.com/efqgcloO4r
What you'll learn 👉
Two Very Different Paths Open Up Depending On What Happens Next At $1.08
Diana laid out a fork in the road for XRP holders watching this setup closely. If the $1.08 zone holds and buyers manage to reclaim the $1.11 to $1.12 range, a fresh push toward $1.145 comes back into view. From there, $1.20 becomes the next marker, followed by a bigger test near the $1.29 to $1.30 resistance band that has capped rallies before.
The other path looks a lot rougher. A decisive break below $1.08 opens the door toward $0.91 as the first downside target, with $0.86 placed further below as the deeper macro support level. From where XRP trades today, a slide to $0.86 would mark close to a 21% decline, and that number is exactly why traders keep such a close watch on this particular zone.
A quick summary of the levels in play:
- $1.11 to $1.12: moving average cluster acting as resistance overhead
- $1.145: first upside target if bulls reclaim the cluster
- $1.20: second upside marker on the recovery path
- $1.29 to $1.30: major resistance zone that has rejected past rallies
- $0.91: first downside target on a confirmed breakdown
- $0.86: deeper macro support and the level tied to the 21% decline scenario
Historical Midterm Year Patterns Add Another Angle To The Current Setup
A separate analyst, who goes by ChartNerd on social media under the handle @ChartNerdTA, drew attention to a longer-term pattern tied to midterm election years. This breakdown showed XRP setting its macro floor months ahead of Bitcoin during past midterm cycles, with June 2014 and June 2022 both marking bottoms well before Bitcoin confirmed its own low later that year.
You might want to see this..$XRP has previously set its macro floor a few months ahead of BTC: June 2014 & June 2022 (both midterm years) marked the bottom well before BTC's confirmation in Q4.
— 🇬🇧 ChartNerd 📊 (@ChartNerdTA) July 25, 2026
If $1.08 holds while BTC marks a new low, there is a slim chance the bottom is in.… https://t.co/7bLMJIK3v1 pic.twitter.com/xZSsFV5a2X
ChartNerd noted that if $1.08 holds as Bitcoin marks a fresh low of its own, there exists a chance that XRP’s bottom forms first again. That said, the pattern is not clean across every cycle. The year 2018, another midterm year, showed XRP’s structural decline extending well beyond Bitcoin’s own drop at the time, and that history keeps the case open in both directions.
Midterm years themselves carry a bearish tilt for XRP going back to 2014, 2018, and 2022, and ChartNerd pointed to a roughly 70% decline heading into 2026 as part of that same rhythm. The analyst was careful to frame this as an observation instead of a prediction. The comparison was described as balanced, with no confirmed outcome either way.
None of this points to a presale or any kind of new token launch. This is simply a look at where an established asset stands relative to support levels that have mattered before. The $1.08 zone has become the dividing line between a fresh recovery attempt and a deeper move into liquidity territory below.
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