The crypto market is on edge as the ongoing tensions between the US and Iran continue to dominate the headlines. The ongoing saga has already caused a ripple effect on the prices of various commodities, fiat currencies, and cryptocurrencies.
In our experience, AI systems perform well in making projections on markets, especially during significant macro-economic events. So, we consulted the DeepSeek AI system with a simple query: what would be the potential outcome if the US and Iran agreed to a ceasefire?
What you'll learn 👉
Bitcoin Chart Shows Resistance Near $70K
A brief look at the charts will give us a better idea of where Bitcoin is at the moment. We took a look at the 4-hour chart, and Bitcoin is seen changing hands at around $68,747, rallying steadily since the dip in February when the price fell to around $60,000.
However, the rate at which the rally is progressing seems to be slowing down, at least as the price approaches the $69,000 level, just before the crucial $70,000 level.
Volume data shows the market is fairly balanced for now. On-Balance Volume is around -1.15 million with a moving average near -1.19 million, pointing to a mix of buying and selling pressure.
The fast RSI is approaching overbought territory near 67, though the slower RSI readings are still neutral. This type of setup often appears before the market pauses briefly. However, in case of a pullback, the market has the support of the $65,000 level, with the lows of February at $60,000 providing a cushion for the market.
A ceasefire announcement, according to DeepSeek, may propel the price of BTC to the range of $72,000 and $80,000 in the near future. However, if the macro environment remains favorable and the ETF inflows remain constant, the price may rise above $80,000.
XRP Consolidation Points to a Potential Breakout
The XRP price on the charts has a different feel to it. Currently, XRP is trading around the $1.3618 level on the 4-hour chart and is stuck in an extremely constricted range with minimal movement over the last few sessions. Such an extremely constricted range is often an indication of an impending movement in the asset.
Looking at the bigger picture, XRP was trading at an all-time high of $2.40 in late 2024 and then plunged into a descending channel. Since the beginning of 2025, the asset has been slowly and steadily consolidating within this channel. Currently, the asset is supported around the $1.1174 level and faces resistance between the $1.80 and $2.00 levels.
According to DeepSeek, the XRP asset is expected to have an extremely high reaction if there is a ceasefire and the overall market sentiment improves globally. In such an eventuality, the asset is expected to rise into the range of $1.60 and $1.80. The asset could even rise into the range of $2.00 and $2.20 if the overall crypto market surges with the rise in the price of Bitcoin.
Read Also: Oil Market Shock: Prices Collapse as G7 Considers 400M Barrel Release
Why a Ceasefire Could Lift Crypto Markets
However, in the event that the US and Iran are able to agree on a ceasefire, the energy market may be the first to respond by experiencing a dip in oil prices, thereby reducing the pressure of inflation in the global economy and increasing the liquidity of the market.
As the overall macroeconomic environment is conducive for investments, investors will increasingly invest in risky assets, and the crypto market will be no exception in this case.
Under these circumstances, the Bitcoin market may experience a surge in demand from investors, including institutional investors. The presence of spot Bitcoin ETFs will ensure a consistent level of demand for the asset.
At the moment, both assets appear to be waiting for a trigger. The BTC price sits just below a major psychological resistance level, and the XRP price remains compressed within a tight consolidation pattern. A ceasefire announcement could be the event that finally releases that pressure across the crypto market.
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