Ripple’s XRP is entering a period where regulation, institutional demand and network utility could collide. The token trades around $1.42, up 0.56% over 24 hours, after finding support near $1.30 but remaining below the $1.50–$1.60 resistance zone.
ETF demand is adding weight to the bullish case, with XRP funds attracting about $159 million last month and more than $13 million this month, alongside a decline in XRP held on exchanges.
The biggest near-term catalyst is the September 15 CLARITY Act procedural vote, which could provide further regulatory certainty. With those factors in play, we asked Claude AI how high the XRP price could go in the next bull run. Its scenarios range from $2.00 to above $8.00, depending on how many catalysts arrive at the same time.
What you'll learn 👉
What Could Drive XRP in the Next Bull Run?
The September 15 CLARITY Act vote could become one of XRP’s biggest catalysts. Clear commodity treatment would reduce regulatory uncertainty and could make XRP easier for institutions to consider.
That comes alongside Nasdaq Rule 5711(d), which has recognized XRP among commodity-based digital assets alongside Bitcoin and Ether. ETF demand adds another measurable source of capital: spot XRP ETFs have accumulated about $1.68 billion in cumulative net inflows since launching in November 2025, with Goldman Sachs holding about $87.4 million in XRP ETF exposure.
Network development could provide another source of demand. The proposed XRPL 3.3.0 Confidential Transfers feature would use cryptographic technology to conceal token balances and transfer amounts while keeping addresses and token types visible.
The feature is aimed at institutional Multi-Purpose Tokens and requires support from at least 80% of trusted validators for two weeks before activation. XRPL already has more than $530 million in tokenized real-world assets, giving the upgrade a measurable market to target.
XRP also has exposure to the wider payments and tokenization markets. Ripple is targeting cross-border payment corridors handling trillions of dollars, and SWIFT processes about $400 billion in daily cross-border payments.
Global stablecoin transaction volume has reached roughly $33 trillion, creating a large liquidity pool for blockchain-based settlement infrastructure. Carded supply-chain data has also reportedly reached about 500,000 records anchored on Cardano, showing how blockchain infrastructure is moving into enterprise data use, though this does not directly create XRP demand.
What Could Hold XRP Back?
The XRP price still faces several obstacles. Macro conditions and interest-rate expectations can restrict appetite for risk assets, especially if inflation keeps central banks cautious. Liquidity is another concern because Ripple’s XRP trading can lean heavily on derivatives, meaning rallies may struggle without sustained spot demand.
Bitcoin also remains a major influence. Ripple’s XRP has historically traded as a high-beta crypto asset, making an independent breakout harder if BTC weakens. Technically, $1.35–$1.50 remains an important resistance region, with $1.60 becoming the next major hurdle.
Claude AI Predicts How High XRP Price Could Go
Claude’s conservative scenario places XRP at $2.00–$2.20. This assumes the CLARITY Act progresses but implementation takes time, Confidential Transfers remain below the 80% validator threshold and ETF inflows remain around $13–$20 million per month. XRP would first need to clear $1.60 before grinding toward $2.
The moderate scenario targets $3.50–$4.50. Here, the CLARITY Act delivers clear commodity language, ETF AUM climbs beyond $2.5–$3 billion, Goldman increases exposure and Confidential Transfers reaches the validator threshold. XRP would first break $1.60, test $2.50–$3.00, then potentially move toward $4.50.
The aggressive scenario reaches $6–$8+. This requires the full catalyst stack: regulatory clarity, Confidential Transfers activation, faster growth from the existing $530 million+ RWA market, accelerating ETF inflows, expanded SWIFT-Ripple settlement pilots and a broad altcoin bull market. Claude places a break above XRP’s prior $3.84 ATH in this scenario before the move extends toward $8.
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What Would XRP Be Worth at Claude’s Target?
Using roughly 59.4 billion XRP in circulating supply, a $2 price would imply a market capitalization near $119 billion. At $4.50, XRP would carry a value of about $267 billion, close to the scale required for a major large-cap crypto asset.
At $8, the implied market capitalization rises to $475 billion. That makes the aggressive target far more demanding than simply repeating a previous percentage rally.
XRP would need enormous capital inflows and sustained demand across ETFs, payments and tokenization to support that valuation.
How Realistic Is Claude’s XRP Price Prediction?
The $2–$4.50 range is easier to justify than $8 because XRP would need to clear several established resistance levels before reaching those valuations.
The $8 target requires the XRP price to be more than 5.6x from $1.42 and reach a market capitalization near $475 billion. That is possible only under an exceptionally strong crypto cycle combined with substantial XRP-specific demand.
Our XRP Price Outlook for the Next Bull Run
Our base case falls between Claude’s conservative and moderate scenarios. A break above $1.60 could open $2.00–$2.20, and a move through the previous $3.84 ATH would put $4.50 within reach.
The $6–$8 range should be treated as a high-end scenario that depends on regulatory clarity, accelerating ETF inflows, institutional XRPL adoption and a powerful altcoin cycle arriving together.
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