XRP price has pulled back from its August peak, but Celal Kucuker believes its current chart has something in common with the setup before a major historical rally. His comparison opens the door to an ambitious recovery scenario, although XRP still has important resistance to clear before that argument becomes stronger.
Dom’s analysis brings the discussion back to the immediate price range. His chart identifies a familiar ceiling that has repeatedly stopped XRP’s recovery attempts. Together, these views create an interesting question: could the current pause become the foundation for a much larger move?
What you'll learn 👉
XRP Price Recovery Follows A Difficult First Half Of 2026
The supplied price history puts XRP near $1.35 to $1.39, compared with about $1.88 at the start of 2026. That leaves XRP price down roughly 26% to 28%, despite its recovery from the summer lows.
The decline developed across several stages. XRP fell early in the year before spending February and March around $1.35 to $1.45. That narrow range offered temporary stability, although it did not produce a lasting recovery.
Further weakness followed during spring and summer. XRP traded between approximately $1.00 and $1.33 during June and July, with the supplied history noting a brief dip close to $0.80.
August brought a stronger response from buyers. XRP rose about 28.5% over the month and reached a recent peak near $1.70. September then brought a pullback into the $1.31 to $1.48 range.
That sequence matters because the August rebound interrupted the earlier decline. However, XRP price remains below its yearly starting point and its recent peak. The recovery needs further confirmation before it can qualify as a durable reversal.
Celal Kucuker Compares XRP Price With A Previous Major Rally
Celal Kucuker’s analysis focuses on the relationship between XRP price, a moving average, and descending resistance. His central argument is that XRP has returned to a technical position resembling the period before a previous major advance.
A look at the XRP chart shows 2 descending blue resistance lines across different market periods. The earlier line covers the decline and consolidation before the late 2024 breakout. The newer line extends across the more recent decline.
Both lines carry a 13.55° label. That describes the angle drawn on the chart, not a 13.55% price decline. Chart angles also depend on the display scale, so the matching labels alone cannot establish that both periods will produce equal returns.
The earlier structure shows XRP below its moving average before a strong advance through descending resistance. Celal applies a similar comparison to the current structure and illustrates a potential rally toward approximately $9.32.
His chart labels both measured advances at about 600.58%. The comparison is therefore based on a repeat of the earlier percentage expansion from a selected starting level.
XRP Moving Average Details Need Careful Interpretation
Celal’s post contains an important inconsistency. He describes the previous rally as starting when XRP was about 12% below the moving average, but then refers to the current trigger as 12% above it.
The attached chart marks a 12.76% distance beneath the average in both comparison areas. It also labels the black curve “EMA 50” on a weekly chart. That means the displayed indicator is a 50 week exponential moving average, rather than the 50 day moving average mentioned in the post.
These distinctions matter because the weekly average tracks a much broader period. A price below that average can remain weak for some time, even if a previous rally began from a similar position.
The useful part of Celal’s argument is the combination of price location and a possible resistance breakout. The percentage gap below the average does not independently confirm that a bull run has begun.
His projected green candles represent a possible future path. They are not completed price action, and the $9.32 level remains a conditional chart target.
Dom Identifies The $1.50 XRP Price Zone As The Immediate Test
Dom offers a more immediate condition for recovery: XRP needs to reclaim the $1.50 region. His analysis notes 5 rejections around that area, which makes it an established obstacle.
We had a look at the XRP chart, and the shaded resistance band covers approximately $1.49 to $1.55. Several earlier attempts reached that zone before price retreated. The August rebound also failed to maintain a position above it.
Repeated failures show that XRP has struggled to sustain demand at those prices. A brief move through resistance would therefore provide less evidence than several closes above it and a successful retest.
Dom places the lower boundary near $1.30, where his 6 month rolling volume weighted average price appears. This indicator calculates an average price weighted by traded volume across the rolling period.
The green line runs close to the recent range floor. Its position gives the $1.30 area additional technical relevance, although it cannot guarantee support. Dom considers a sustained reclaim of the $1.50 region the main confirmation that the trend has turned higher and a bottom may already be established.
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XRP Price Needs Confirmation Before The Historical Comparison Strengthens
The 2 analyses operate across different timeframes, but they share a common requirement: XRP must clear resistance.
The immediate levels help organize the possibilities:
- Support Near $1.30: Holding this area would preserve the current range and keep the recovery structure intact.
- Resistance Around $1.50 To $1.55: A sustained breakout would strengthen Dom’s case for a completed bottom.
- Recent Peak Near $1.70: A return above this level would provide further evidence that buyers have regained control.
A loss of $1.30 would weaken the recovery case and bring the earlier $1.00 region back into consideration. Conversely, reclaiming $1.50 and then $1.70 would make Celal’s broader breakout scenario more credible.
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