Stellar (XLM) is trading around $0.17, but one analyst believes the token could eventually move significantly higher if the broader crypto market enters another strong bullish phase.
Crypto analyst Celal Kucuker recently pointed to Stellar’s long-term chart, describing XLM as having “one of the best charts in the market.” His Stellar prediction is closely tied to XRP: if XRP reaches $6, Kucuker believes XLM could break above $1.50.
He goes considerably further under a stronger bull-market scenario, arguing that an eventual move toward $5 would not surprise him.
Those targets would represent enormous gains from today’s price. However, Kucuker’s chart also shows why getting there would require XLM to overcome a technical structure that has been developing for years.
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Analyst Says XRP at $6 Could Put XLM Above $1.50
Kucuker’s argument appears to be based partly on the historical relationship between XRP and XLM and partly on Stellar’s own long-term technical setup.
The two assets are frequently grouped together because both networks have historically focused on payments and moving value efficiently. They also share some history through Stellar co-founder Jed McCaleb, who was previously one of Ripple’s co-founders.
However, XRP reaching $6 would not mechanically cause XLM to reach $1.50. The analyst’s prediction should instead be interpreted as a broader market scenario: if conditions become bullish enough to carry XRP to $6, similar capital rotation could potentially benefit XLM.
At $0.17, XLM would need to rise approximately 782% to reach $1.50, meaning its price would have to increase almost ninefold.
Reaching $5 would be considerably more difficult. That would require an increase of roughly 2,840%, or nearly 30x from the current level.
Those numbers make $1.50 the more relevant target to watch first.
Stellar Chart Analysis
Kucuker’s monthly Coinbase chart goes all the way back to Stellar’s earlier market cycles, and its most noticeable feature is a huge multi-year consolidation.
XLM has repeatedly produced major rallies toward a descending resistance line while its major lows have continued forming along an ascending support line. Together, those boundaries have created an enormous tightening structure stretching from around 2018 into 2026.
The analyst’s blue projection anticipates another rebound from the lower portion of this structure, followed eventually by a breakout through the long-term descending resistance.
His first major projected destination is around $1.43, which fits closely with his statement that XLM could break $1.50 if XRP reaches $6.
More interestingly, the chart doesn’t end there.
After an initial breakout and another period of consolidation, Kucuker’s projection points toward approximately $5.41. That would place XLM well beyond its previous cycle highs.
The important part of the chart, however, isn’t the blue projected path. It’s whether XLM actually breaks the multi-year resistance that has repeatedly stopped previous rallies.
Until that happens, the $1.50 and $5 targets remain scenarios rather than confirmed technical objectives.
Read also: Here Are XRP, Stellar (XLM) and XDC Prices if 1% of Africa Adopts Them
Is a $1.50 XLM Price Realistic?
Of Kucuker’s two targets, $1.50 looks considerably more realistic than $5, particularly if XRP were simultaneously trading at $6 and the wider altcoin market was experiencing a major expansion.
XLM has already demonstrated that it can trade substantially above today’s $0.17 level during previous cycles. The long-term chart also indicaates that the market has spent years compressing between rising support and falling resistance.
A confirmed breakout from that structure could therefore be significant.
But there are several steps between $0.17 and $1.50.
XLM would first need to establish a sustained reversal from its current range, reclaim intermediate resistance and ultimately break the upper boundary of Kucuker’s long-term structure. A move back toward the $0.40-$0.60 region would likely provide a much more meaningful test of whether a larger trend reversal is actually developing.
The $5 prediction requires even stronger assumptions. At that point, Stellar would likely need not only a powerful crypto bull market but also substantial investor demand and continued fundamental growth across its ecosystem.
There is at least one fundamental trend supporting the bullish argument.
Stellar’s Tokenized Asset Market Is Growing Rapidly
While XLM’s price remains far below the levels envisioned in Kucuker’s chart, activity around tokenized real-world assets on Stellar has been expanding.
According to the figures cited in the latest ecosystem data, the value of tokenized RWAs on Stellar approached $4 billion by August 29, representing an increase of roughly 360% since the end of 2025.
Spiko reportedly accounts for around $1.55 billion of that total, while established asset managers and tokenization platforms including Franklin Templeton and Ondo are also part of Stellar’s growing RWA ecosystem.
The assets being brought on-chain range from U.S. Treasuries to other forms of government debt.
There are other signs that Stellar is leaning further into this market. Recent ecosystem developments include RedStone deploying price feeds on Stellar for several Centrifuge tokenized assets, while tokenized agricultural credit has also been built on the network.
This is important because it gives the bullish XLM argument something beyond price speculation.
If Stellar continues attracting tokenized financial assets, the network could see greater settlement activity and institutional use. That does not automatically translate into equivalent demand for XLM, but it strengthens the fundamental case for Stellar remaining relevant as blockchain infrastructure.
Could XLM Really Reach $5?
Kucuker’s prediction effectively contains two very different scenarios.
The first (XLM above $1.50 if XRP reaches $6) is aggressive but conceivable during a sufficiently strong altcoin market. It would require an almost 9x move from current prices, but it also broadly corresponds with the first major breakout target shown on his long-term chart at around $1.43.
The second scenario, around $5-$5.40, is much more speculative. XLM would need to rise almost 30x from $0.17, meaning the market would likely need to move far beyond a normal recovery.
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