Silver fell 1.5% to 2.5% over the last week. The price got squeezed into a tight range, then sellers took over. Spot silver hit a double top around $78.90 per ounce on May 19. After that, it dropped to a weekly low of $74.47.
Then it settled between $75.52 and $76.30 before a bigger sell-off hit precious metals. For the whole week, silver moved only between $74.47 and $78.90. Everyone watched that tight pattern form right below resistance.
On India’s MCX exchange, July 2026 silver futures fell between 1.4% and 1.8% during early trading sessions, dropping near ₹2,71,650 per kilogram. Even after the decline, the silver price remains up 129% from the $32.48 level recorded exactly one year ago.
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Silver’s Price Historic Breakout Pattern and the Warning Signs Emerging on the Daily Chart
The chart shared by Bald Guy Money tracks silver’s average yearly closing price from 1990 through projected levels into 2026. The chart shows silver trading mostly between $4 and $6 during the 1990s before starting a gradual climb after 2003.
The chart marks 2007 as a big turning point. That was the year the iPhone came out. The post links that to the rise of smart devices and the industrial need for silver that followed. By 2011, silver hit $35.56. Then it went into a long quiet phase that lasted almost ten years.
What really stands out is the big base that formed between 2013 and 2020. During all those years, silver mostly stayed between $15 and $20 per ounce. And this happened even as factories kept needing more of it.
This shows the average closing price of Silver per year going back to 1990.
— Bald Guy Money (@baldguymoney) May 26, 2026
It tells a story of scarcity, importance, and destruction of the monetary order.
If you’re below 45 years of age and don’t look at charts like this, you’re making a grave mistake! pic.twitter.com/LCCPpqkmSu
The silver chart labels this period as a “floor established,” meaning the market spent years absorbing supply before another breakout attempt. From 2021 onward, the chart shows silver steadily reclaiming higher price zones, eventually breaking above the old $35 level and aiming toward the projected $41.50 breakout area.
The final projection on the chart points toward a possible move to $91.73. That projection is tied to the idea of a “monetary reset,” where investors move capital away from weakening fiat currencies and into hard assets like gold and silver. The tweet argues that younger investors are ignoring a macro chart that combines monetary instability, industrial demand, and decades of suppressed silver pricing.
Also, the chart from GDXTrader focuses on short-term price action. We had a look and the market bounced directly from the 100 EMA after a two-week decline.
That bounce made what traders call a bullish kicker candle. Buyers jumped in hard after a bad session. But the very next day, the silver price didn’t keep going up. So that reversal never got confirmed.
#SILVER #SILVER gave us a bullish kicker candle yesterday as price bounced off the 100 EMA, signaling buyers attempted to defend descending support after the recent pullback.
— $Trader (@GDXTrader) May 26, 2026
However, today there was no confirmation follow-through to validate a pivot reversal, showing bulls… pic.twitter.com/bscAnYyPUa
The momentum numbers still look weak too. The RSI stayed near 47. That puts silver in a gray zone, not really neutral, leaning toward sellers. You want to see it above 50 or 60 for real buying power.
The MACD kept moving lower without any bullish crossover. That means sellers still control where the price goes. The rate of change indicator also kept falling during the two-week decline, showing sellers still dominate beneath the surface even after the bounce attempt. The chart’s descending trendline near the $78 area remains the key resistance traders are watching.
What Is Pushing the Silver Price Today?
One big catalyst behind the silver price is the growing supply deficit. The global silver market is now heading into its sixth consecutive year where demand exceeds supply. Mine production has stayed mostly flat, and physical inventories on COMEX have dropped heavily since 2020 as investors and institutions continue hoarding physical metal.
In many regions, physical silver premiums remain elevated because available supply cannot fully meet demand.
Industrial demand also continues climbing. Silver is heavily used in AI data centers, electric vehicles, semiconductors, and solar panels. Photovoltaic manufacturing alone consumes large quantities of silver paste, and many manufacturers still struggle to find cheaper substitutes with similar conductivity.
This means silver demand is no longer tied only to investment buying or jewelry consumption. Silver is now tied closely to factory production and big projects around the world that run on electricity.
People also still buy silver to feel safe. There are fights in the Middle East and worries about how much debt governments owe. So investors keep turning to precious metals to protect their money from rising prices and weak currencies. Whenever fear goes up around the world, silver moves fast.
Bigger economic forces matter too. The U.S. dollar is one of the biggest levers on silver. News of the U.S. and Iran talking things out took some heat off oil prices. That made people think the Federal Reserve might not need to cut rates as much. Oil also fell during the week, so inflation pressure eased a bit, and that usually hurts precious metals.
On top of all that, trade rules are making silver harder to get. India raised its import tax on precious metals to 15%. That cuts supply inside the country and drives up local prices.
China keeps bringing in record amounts of silver while also limiting exports. That tightens what’s available around the world. So the physical silver market remains tight even as paper prices swing up and down
Related Silver News: Silver Price Prediction: Cup and Handle Points to $196 – Why the Correction Was Always Part of the Plan
Right now, silver is stuck. Short-term action looks weak, but the big reasons to own it are still strong. Traders are waiting for a clear move above $78 to feel good about buying again. Until then, no one is sure.
But underneath all that, the metal keeps getting support. Supplies are tight. Factories need silver. And the global economy is a mess. Those three things haven’t changed.
If the silver price breaks above the major resistance zones shown in both charts, the market could enter an entirely different price phase over the coming years.
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