An old claim in the XRP community has come up again. The idea is simple and tempting: if the XRP price ever reaches $1,000, holding just 1,000 tokens would turn someone into a millionaire.
But crypto commentator Martyn Lucas says this claim falls apart once basic math enters the picture.
Lucas pushed back on viral predictions that the XRP price could reach $1,000 or even $2,000 in the near future.
Some influencers had even cited a date like jan 1, 2026, for such a possibility. Now that 2025 is coming to an end, XRP is trading at about $1.85, nowhere near that level. For Lucas, that gap alone raises a red flag.
The core of Lucas’s argument comes down to market capitalization. Ripple’s XRP has around 60 billion tokens in circulation, with more expected to unlock over time. If XRP were priced at $1,000 with that supply, its total market value would land around $60 trillion.
To put that into perspective, $60 trillion is far larger than Bitcoin, Ethereum, and most global stock markets combined.
It would also dwarf the size of today’s entire crypto market. Lucas argues that no realistic flow of capital could support that kind of valuation.
Crypto commentator and investor Martyn Lucas has rejected claims that XRP could rise to $1,000, insisting that such predictions do not add up.
— TheCryptoBasic (@thecryptobasic) December 31, 2025
In a recent post on X, Lucas called attention to claims circulating online that holding 1,000 XRP could soon make someone a millionaire.…
“Market Cap Doesn’t Matter” Or Does It?
Some XRP supporters argue that market cap is meaningless for utility tokens. They claim that real-world usage could push prices higher without limits. Lucas strongly disagrees with that view.
In his response, he explained that market cap still shows how much money must enter an asset to sustain a price. Even if crypto works differently from stocks, buyers still need to pay real money at higher prices. Without massive capital inflows, extreme price targets simply cannot hold.
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Lucas even pointed to ChatGPT’s explanation to reinforce this idea. The AI confirmed that market cap remains a key tool for judging whether price predictions make sense, even in crypto.
Another point Lucas raised is how large investors behave. If XRP somehow surged toward unrealistic levels, institutions would likely sell or short into that strength. That selling pressure would cap the price long before it reached something like $1,000.
He compared this to traditional markets, where experienced players often exit when retail enthusiasm peaks.
A Reality Check For XRP, Not an Attack
Lucas made it clear that his criticism is not anti-XRP. He owns XRP himself and bought it at much lower prices. He also sees room for Ripple’s XRP to grow over time, potentially toward levels like $10 under the right conditions.
What he rejects is the idea that $1,000 XRP is achievable. In his estimation, this narrative is there to generate clicks and provide hope, rather than being part of a serious analysis.
Bottom line: Big numbers may excite, but unless they’re “doable” math, they’re a story, not a forecast.
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