XRP is heading into October with buyers trying to take back control after the September rally lost some steam. The XRP price is around $1.50, and $1.55 is the first big level bulls need to clear.
There are also a few important factors that could influence the XRP price today. The October 1 escrow release introduces a new supply variable, with up to 1 billion XRP scheduled for release. ETF demand and continued activity across the XRP Ledger could also affect sentiment as traders assess the next move.
What you'll learn 👉
The XRP Price Is Testing the Middle of Its Range
We had a look at the XRP chart, and $1.55-$1.60 is the first resistance zone to watch. XRP has made several attempts to push through this area but has failed to hold above it. A strong 4-hour close above $1.60 would give buyers a better technical setup and bring $1.65-$1.70 into focus.
The $1.66 area marks the September high, making $1.65-$1.70 an important test for the XRP price. A move above $1.70 would be more meaningful because it would take XRP above the September swing high and outside the current range.
The support side is also clear. The first area to watch is $1.45-$1.47, followed by $1.40-$1.42. If selling pressure pushes the XRP price below those levels, $1.32-$1.35 becomes the next major support zone. The September low around $1.27-$1.30 is the deeper swing support.
Read Also: Altcoin Warning: Analyst Dumps XRP, HBAR and ONDO as Market Gets Too Hot
Regulatory Clarity Changes the XRP Backdrop
XRP is entering this period with a very different regulatory picture from the early days of Ripple’s legal battle with the SEC. In August 2025, the SEC and Ripple dropped their appeals, bringing the case to an end. The $125.04 million civil penalty and the injunction against Ripple remained in place after the appeals were dismissed.
Ripple also said that a joint SEC and CFTC interpretation in March 2026 classified XRP as a digital commodity. Since that information came from Ripple, it is worth treating the classification as the company’s own account of the regulatory development.
There is also more happening on the XRP Ledger itself. CoinDesk reported that the average value of tokenized assets on the network reached $3.72 billion in Q2 2026, more than double the Q1 average. Average RLUSD balances also climbed to $539 million during the same quarter.
XRP Price Prediction for October 2
The XRP price is still inside a broad range, with $1.45-$1.60 defining the immediate technical battle. A break above $1.60 would bring $1.65-$1.70 into focus. Clearing $1.70 would take XRP beyond its September high and create a new technical setup.
If XRP loses $1.45, the focus would move to $1.40-$1.42, followed by $1.32-$1.35. A break below $1.27-$1.30 would mark a much deeper deterioration in the current structure.
For October 2, the XRP price remains neutral from a momentum perspective. RSI at 48.72, the Ultimate Oscillator at 53.48 and lower recent volume all fit with the current consolidation. The next major move will depend on whether buyers reclaim $1.60 or sellers take XRP below $1.45.
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