XRP price has spent months moving sideways and lower, testing patience without offering clear direction. That slow grind explains why one technical level now carries so much weight. According to analysis shared by TheCryptoBasic and highlighted by market analyst Chart Nerd, the next move for XRP price does not require complex indicators or bold assumptions. A clean break above a long standing resistance line could be enough to shift momentum.
That resistance has shaped Ripple price behavior since mid 2025, and Chart Nerd believes the market keeps circling the same answer.
What you'll learn 👉
XRP Price Faces A Defining Test Against Long Standing Resistance
Chart Nerd’s analysis focuses on a descending trendline that has capped XRP price since July 2025. Every recovery attempt has stalled once price touched that line, turning optimism into another pullback. Current chart data places that resistance around $2.1, a level that now acts as the gateway for any meaningful trend change.
XRP price currently trades near $1.91 after another failed recovery attempt earlier in January 2026. Chart Nerd argues that price action remains trapped until that trendline gives way. Sideways movement and short term volatility mean little without a decisive close above resistance.
Ripple Price History Shows Why This Level Matters
Earlier cycles show how powerful this pattern can be. Chart Nerd pointed out that before the recent downtrend, XRP price spent much of early 2024 consolidating around $0.50. Support held between $0.45 and $0.55, creating a base that later fueled a sharp rally.
That rally accelerated after the U.S. election. XRP price surged more than 500% between November 2024 and January 2025, climbing from $0.50 to $3.4. During that period, Ripple price built a strong accumulation zone between $1.7 and $1.9. Sellers regained control after the peak, and the first major resistance trendline emerged.
The pullback from the July 18 high resulted in the formation of the second and current resistance trendline, which has continued to limit XRP’s upward push. Like the previous trendline, XRP has initiated two attempts at breaching this current resistance but they both proved…
— TheCryptoBasic (@thecryptobasic) January 23, 2026
Failed Breakouts Continue To Shape XRP Price Direction
Several breakout attempts followed. March saw XRP price rebound above $3.02 after XRP was included in a U.S. crypto stockpile announcement. Resistance near $3 stopped that move, sending price down to $1.6 by April 2025. Another recovery in May reached $2.65 before meeting the same fate.
Chart Nerd noted that XRP price briefly broke above resistance in early July, which triggered a fresh uptrend. That move carried Ripple price to around $3.6 by July 18 before another pullback formed the current resistance trendline.
Two more attempts failed under that line. One peaked near $3.1 in October before a market wide crash pushed XRP price to $2.2. Another rally reached $2.41 on January 6, 2026, followed by another rejection.
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Chart Nerd insists the solution remains straightforward. XRP price needs a decisive close above the descending trendline near $2.1. Until that happens, price action stays range bound as long as the multi month accumulation support remains intact.
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