Celestia’s native token, TIA, has seen a significant price surge over the past week. In the last 24 hours alone, TIA has risen 15%, bringing the 7-day gain to around 30% at the time of writing. We analyze the key drivers behind this rapid increase and examine the technical indicators suggesting an imminent pullback.
There are a few likely catalysts behind TIA’s impressive rally:
Firstly, staking activity and unique wallet growth have exploded recently. According to a recent tweet from @layerggofficial, Celestia’s staking unique wallets have surpassed 300,000 – doubling in just one week. This surge in stakers and new users reflects growing confidence in Celestia’s long-term potential.
Additionally, as a relatively new project launching only in October 2023, Celestia seems to be benefiting from positive community buzz and first-mover advantage in its niche. As the “first modular blockchain” focused on scalability, Celestia offers a unique value proposition in the crowded crypto space.
Despite the fundamentals seeming largely positive, TIA looks overextended on the charts:
On the daily timeframe, TIA broke out emphatically from a trading range, entering price discovery mode. However, after this vertical move, the token now seems ripe for a pullback.
Case in point: the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has surged to 73. Readings above 70 typically signify overbought conditions signaling an impending reversal.
Zooming into shorter timeframes reveals similar technical signs of exhaustion. The 4-hour and 1-hour RSI are flashing overbought at 70 and 77 respectively.
More tellingly, TIA is already retreating from its local highs on the 30-minute chart – with RSI dipping back below 70. This suggests the start of a short-term mean reversion play.
Upside Fibonacci projections provide likely support levels for this anticipated retracement. Key Fib levels come in at:
- $17.5 (23.6% retracement)
- $16.2 (38.2% retracement)
- $15 (50% retracement)
Therefore, while Celestia’s long-term growth narrative remains intact, traders may consider locking in profits soon or waiting for an entry at lower levels based on the technically overextended signals. TIA looks poised to pullback anywhere from 15% to 25% in the coming days or weeks.
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