Every bull market brings its share of wild predictions, and this time it’s Cardano’s turn. Over the past few days, Twitter has seen chatter about ADA reaching $25 in 2025. But while the idea makes for catchy tweets, the numbers make it almost impossible.
At today’s price of around $0.80, Cardano carries a market cap of about $29 billion. If ADA were to hit $25, its circulating supply of 36.48 billion tokens would push the market cap to more than $912 billion. That’s nearly a trillion dollars – larger than the combined value of Ethereum and Binance, and not far behind Bitcoin itself.
Why the Math Doesn’t Work
The simple truth is that ADA has never come close to justifying such a valuation. Its all-time high was $3.10 back in 2021, and even in the current bull cycle it hasn’t managed to reclaim half of that. Expecting a 30x from here – while Ethereum, Solana, and Bitcoin all compete for institutional money – is not realistic.
Why is Twitter trending with "$ADA to $25 in 2025"?
— Zia ul Haque (@ImZiaulHaque) August 28, 2025
Meanwhile, if $ADA reaches $25 with the current circulating supply of 36,487,203,224, the market cap would be approximately:
$912,180,080,600 (~$912.2 Billion) 😂😂
Stop taking unnecessary hope, follow simple maths. pic.twitter.com/wWI5eQ65cx
Cardano also lags in activity compared to its rivals. While Ethereum dominates DeFi, NFTs, and institutional pilots, and Solana has surged in usage, Cardano still struggles with adoption and developer traction. Without that, the demand needed to push ADA toward trillion-dollar valuations simply doesn’t exist.
Finally, capital flows matter. If Bitcoin is climbing toward $200K or Ethereum is targeting $10K, institutional money won’t be rotating into ADA at valuations that rival national economies. The opportunity cost is too high.
Twitter predictions can be entertaining, but they often ignore basic math. As analyst Zia ul Haque pointed out, if the ADA price hit $25, its market cap would top $912 billion – a number completely detached from reality.
The truth is simple: Cardano may have upside in the next bull run, but $25 is pure hopium. Traders betting on that level aren’t following fundamentals – they’re chasing fantasy.
Read also: Here’s the ADA Price If BlackRock Files for a Cardano ETF
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