Traders are trying to figure out where the XRP price goes next after climbing from lower levels earlier in the cycle, it’s spent the past few weeks bouncing between support and resistance instead of picking a clear direction.
At the time of analysis, XRP was at $1.401. The latest 4-hour candle dipped to $1.3876 before buyers stepped in and lifted it back up. That buying pushed the XRP price to close the session in the green, though the bigger picture still looks like a market waiting for its next catalyst.
Compared to a few years ago, XRP is in a stronger spot. The SEC lawsuit settled in 2025, removing a huge cloud of uncertainty. And seven spot XRP ETFs launched later that year, giving institutional investors more ways in. Those developments have helped keep XRP above its 200-day simple moving average near $1.27.
What you'll learn 👉
XRP Price Analysis: The Support Levels Standing Between $1.40 and $1
We had a look at the XRP chart, and the range is the main thing right now. The XRP price is stuck between support at $1.20 and resistance at $1.60. Neither side has forced a breakout, which is why price action has been so contained.
The technical indicators aren’t giving a clear answer either. RSI is at 57.11, leaning slightly bullish, but the chart shows both bullish and bearish divergences. The Ultimate Oscillator is at 47.55, pointing to a market that still lacks strong momentum in either direction.
If the XRP price starts moving lower, the first level to watch is $1.20. Below that sits the psychological $1 mark, followed by support at $0.80 and $0.60. So a move below $1 would mean losing several layers of support first.
We Asked Claude AI: Could XRP Really Fall Below $1 Again?
Claude AI believes it could happen, but it doesn’t see that as the most likely outcome. The model pointed to several factors supporting the XRP price, including the settled SEC case, the presence of spot XRP ETFs, and the fact that XRP remains above its longer-term trend indicators.
For XRP to trade below $1 again, the market would first need to break through support at $1.20 and then lose the $1 level itself. That would mark a major change from the trend XRP has maintained since its legal battle with the SEC came to an end. So yes, it is possible. But based on today’s market structure, Claude AI does not view it as the base-case scenario.
Read Also: Crypto Price Predictions for Today, September 19: Solana (SOL), XRP, and Dogecoin (DOGE)
What Would Have to Happen for XRP to Crash Below $1?
A drop below $1 would probably require more than one thing going wrong at the same time. A broad crypto market selloff would be one possible trigger. Investor sentiment remains elevated, with the Fear & Greed Index sitting around 71. Markets often become more vulnerable to corrections when optimism reaches those levels.
ETF demand is another piece of the puzzle. Spot XRP ETFs created a new channel for institutional money to enter the market. If those products start seeing persistent outflows, that source of demand could weaken.
Regulation also remains important. The SEC case may be settled, but any new legal challenges affecting XRP or crypto investment products could pressure sentiment and create additional selling. A combination of those factors could push the XRP price through $1.20 and put the $1 level under pressure.
XRP Price Outlook: Bearish, Base and Bullish Scenarios
In a bearish scenario, XRP loses $1.20 and heads toward $1.00. If selling picks up across the market, $0.80 becomes the next target. The base case keeps the XRP price between $1.20 and $1.60. That’s where it’s spent most of its time, and the chart hasn’t shown a clear winner between buyers and sellers yet.
In a bullish scenario, XRP breaks above $1.60 and targets $1.80. A move through that could bring $2.00 into view, especially if ETF demand stays healthy and the broader market remains supportive.
For now, the XRP price remains comfortably above the key levels that would threaten its long-term structure. That is why Claude AI sees a return below $1 as a possibility worth considering, but not the outcome it expects heading into 2027.
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