Ripple Price Warning: Analyst Says This Metric Could Trigger Sharp XRP Dip

Ripple (XRP) price has been holding firm above the $2 level since November 2024, but that stability might soon be tested. According to a post by crypto analyst CasiTrades, XRP could be headed for a volatile move that might push the price lower before any possible breakout. With the current market setup, there’s a good chance that Ripple’s price action is approaching a crucial tipping point.

XRP has been consolidating for a while now. Price is still trading just above key support zones, but what’s happening beneath the surface tells a different story. CasiTrades noted that XRP is approaching the apex of a large consolidation pattern. While the price isn’t moving much, the funding rate is creeping up.

This combination is what he called dangerous. The funding rate, which represents the cost to maintain long positions in the futures market, is rising steadily. At the time of his post, XRP funding had already ticked up to 0.01% every 8 hours, despite no real breakout happening. If it rises to 0.02% or higher and price continues to stall, this could trigger something big and not in a good way for long traders.

Why Rising Funding Could Lead to a Drop

When funding goes up while price stays flat, it suggests that more traders are going long and expecting a breakout. But the problem is, if that breakout doesn’t happen soon, those positions become vulnerable. Algorithms and big players notice the growing open interest, and if there’s no price movement, they might force a flush. This is where volatility enters the picture.

@CasiTrades / X

In simple terms, a surge in funding without actual price gains can lead to a “liquidity sweep.” That means price could suddenly dip to shake out weak or unprotected long positions before a stronger move can happen. CasiTrades mentioned that if Ripple fails to hold above $2.25, the price could drop to $2.01, then $1.90, or even $1.55. These levels represent the most likely targets if the market takes a sharp turn downward.

Volatility Could Set the Stage for a Big Move

Even though this might sound bearish, it’s not all bad news for XRP holders. The same volatility that could cause a dip may also create the perfect conditions for a big upside breakout. CasiTrades believes this potential flush could generate the momentum needed for what he called a “wave 3 breakout.” That’s a powerful kind of move in market cycles that often leads to sustained rallies.

The bottom line is that XRP price is entering a critical phase. The current funding pattern, combined with stalled price action, points to rising tension in the market. Whether the next move is a short-term dip or the beginning of a larger breakout, it’s likely to shape Ripple’s price action for the rest of the summer.

Read Also: How Much Will 13,500 Kaspa (KAS) Tokens Be Worth by 2026?

What to Watch in the Coming Days

If XRP breaks below $2.25 and starts heading toward $2.01 or $1.90, it might be part of a broader setup to trap bears and reset the market. But if it manages to stay strong and funding levels stabilize, the breakout could happen without that downside sweep. Either way, traders and investors should keep a close eye on both the funding rate and XRP price action.

Ripple’s price is showing signs that something big is brewing. Whether it starts with a dip or goes straight to a rally, the market is likely preparing for a defining move.

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Rene Peters
Rene Peters

Rene Peters is editor-in-chief of CaptainAltcoin and is responsible for editorial planning and business development. After his training as an accountant, he studied diplomacy and economics and held various positions in one of the management consultancies and in couple of digital marketing agencies. He is particularly interested in the long-term implications of blockchain technology for politics, society and the economy.

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