Most XRP traders are no longer expecting fireworks before the year ends. According to data shared by Gemini, a clear majority of its users believe Ripple’s XRP will finish 2025 trading in a narrow range between $1.50 and $2.00.
The exchange published screenshots from its ongoing XRP price prediction poll, which launched on December 12. The poll tracks where users think XRP will close the year, and the results point to growing confidence in a quiet finish.
Leading crypto exchange Gemini has revealed that a clear majority of its users expect XRP to close the year at prices between $1.50 and $2.00.
— TheCryptoBasic (@thecryptobasic) December 23, 2025
In a post on X, Gemini shared screenshots of its ongoing user polls gauging expectations for XRP’s year-end price. The poll, which…
What you'll learn 👉
Why the XRP $1.50–$2.00 Range Is Gaining Support
Gemini says that users give XRP a 73% likelihood of remaining between $1.50 and $2.00 by the end of the year. Interestingly, this percentage has been increasing over the last several days to indicate that traders are becoming more accepting of this scenario.
Earlier in the survey, there was greater optimism. Some 38% of respondents expected the XRP price to close in the band $2.00 to $2.50. This figure has since decreased to 28%, indicating a decreased hope of a late-year break-out.
Confidence in even higher prices is now very limited. Only 4% of users see the XRP price reaching the $2.50–$3.00 range by year-end, and just 4% expect a move above $3. Both figures have declined as the market pulled back.
Limited Bearish Expectations For XRP Despite the Pullback
On the other hand, the pessimists are not vocal. According to Gemini, only 7% of the users believe that XRP will go below $1.50. That figure rose slightly following the recent market-wide pullback, but it still reflects a belief that strong support remains intact.
At writing, the XRP price is trading near $1.89. As of December 15, the price has generally been ranging within the levels of $1.80-$2.00, thereby supporting the impression that the market of XRP has been stuck in a state of consolidation.
Such a pricing trend helps to explain why most people do not expect a sudden collaps or a sudden rally in the last few days before closing out the year.
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How Gemini Will Settle the Prediction Market
Gemini confirmed that the XRP prediction market will close on December 31, 2025, at 09:00 a.m. (GMT +1). The outcome will be determined using the GRR-KAIKO_XRPUSD_8UTC index provided by Kaiko.
For example, users who selected the $1.50–$2.00 range will receive a “Yes” result if XRP final price is greater than $1.50 and less than or equal to $2.00 at the settlement time. Gemini also indicated that payout funds will be dispersed no later than the following day.
Furthermore, the present projection is much more conservative compared to earlier predictions made in 2025. The XRP price had rallied to a price of $3.65 in July, and expectations ran high regarding a strong performance towards the end of the year.
Despite this, it appears that many Gemini investors do not believe this new trend is here to stay. Although they forecast that it is likely that the end of 2025 passes without any surprises, they also think that it is likely that a market correction may be forthcoming in the early months of 2026.
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