The XRP price enters the new week in a familiar position. It is still holding above the key $2.00 level, just as outlined in last week’s price outlook.
After several days of sideways movement, XRP has yet to make a clear move in either direction. Price remains supported above $2.00, but the lack of momentum has made traders cautious. With volatility drying up, it’s now important to see whether buyers can keep defending this zone or if sellers will eventually regain control.
Last week’s outlook focused on one simple condition. As long as the XRP price stayed above $2.00, the broader structure remained constructive. That condition is still valid. However, continued consolidation suggests the market is waiting for a catalyst before committing to the next move.
Several fundamental and technical developments could influence where Ripple’s XRP is headed next.
What you'll learn 👉
Fundamental Factors Impacting the XRP Price
One of the more important recent developments is the XRPL v3.0.0 upgrade. This update introduced fixes related to token escrows and improved the network’s overall scalability. While upgrades like this rarely cause immediate price reactions, they strengthen the foundation of the XRP Ledger and improve confidence in its long-term reliability.
Institutional activity around XRP continues to grow as well. BNY Mellon’s work on tokenized deposits has reinforced XRP’s role as a potential settlement layer for large-scale financial assets. At the same time, RLUSD integration and partnerships involving institutions like SBI are expanding real-world use cases across the XRP Ledger.
Santiment data shows a clear spike in large XRP Ledger transactions; renewed activity from whales. On Monday, the network recorded 2,170 transactions worth $100,000 or more, and that number jumped to 2,802 the following day, marking a three-month high. This kind of increase often points to large holders repositioning or moving funds ahead of a potential shift in price action. While it does not guarantee an immediate move, rising whale activity typically suggests growing interest beneath the surface and is something traders watch closely during periods of consolidation.
🐳 XRP Ledger has seen a major increase in whale transactions (moved valued at $100K or more on the network). Monday saw 2,170 of them, and yesterday shot all the way up to 2,802 (a 3-month high).
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) January 7, 2026
🔗 Volatility should be higher than usual. Follow along: https://t.co/6vgr6o1T6F pic.twitter.com/sgSIeLhzvu
Institutional adoption efforts are also picking up. Evernorth, backed by Ripple and SBI, partnered with Doppler Finance to develop liquidity and treasury solutions for banks and large investors. These efforts suggest XRP is being positioned more as financial infrastructure than a speculative asset, which supports its longer-term outlook.
XRP Chart Analysis
Over the past seven days, XRP’s price action has remained range-bound. After topping out near $2.40 earlier this month, price pulled back and has since traded in a narrow band just above $2.05. This behavior reflects indecision rather than strong selling pressure.
The $2.00 to $2.05 area continues to act as a key support zone. Buyers have stepped in multiple times to defend this level, preventing deeper pullbacks. On the upside, resistance remains layered between $2.25 and $2.40, where previous attempts higher have stalled.
Momentum indicators support the sideways narrative. The RSI has hovered near the midpoint, showing no signs of overbought or oversold conditions. This suggests the XRP price still has room to move once a clear direction emerges.
MACD momentum has flattened after cooling off from earlier highs, pointing to reduced bullish pressure. Positioning data shows net shorts gradually increasing compared to net longs. While this reflects growing caution, it also leaves the market vulnerable to a squeeze if price starts moving higher unexpectedly.
XRP Price Prediction for This Week
In the short term, the $2.00 level remains critical. As long as the XRP price stays above it, the broader structure remains intact. Holding this support could allow XRP to slowly work its way back toward the $2.25 to $2.30 resistance area.
A move above $2.30 with stronger volume would likely shift sentiment back in favor of the bulls. That area has capped recent advances, and reclaiming it would open the door for another test of the $2.40 zone.
On the downside, a clear break below $2.00 would change the picture. In that scenario, the lower range between $1.85 and $1.90 would likely come back into focus. While this would not necessarily invalidate the larger trend, it would extend the consolidation phase.
For now, the XRP price appears to be in a waiting mode. Fundamentals continue to improve in the background, but the XRP chart indicates balance rather than weakness. Where is the XRP price headed this week will depend on whether buyers continue to defend $2.00 and whether fresh momentum enters the market.
Read also: Why PEPE, XRP, Solana Are Back In The Best Crypto to Buy Conversation
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