Dogecoin Struggles to Reclaim $0.08 as 56% of Holders Face Losses: Is the DOGE Dream Fading Away?

After experiencing a bullish breakout from a Falling Wedge pattern, DOGE’s price soared to $0.085, marking a 30% gain. However, the euphoria was short-lived.

The cryptocurrency has since retraced its steps, falling below the 200-day moving average of $0.08 and even breaching the $0.07 support level. Essentially, it has relinquished all its prior gains. Market participants are now in a holding pattern, waiting for one of two scenarios:

  1. Price Reclamation: The price needs to reclaim the key levels of $0.08 and $0.07 to confirm a potential uptrend.
  2. Swing Entry Point: Alternatively, a pullback to the $0.053 support level could offer a lucrative entry point for swing traders.

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The Multi-Tiered Trend Analysis

The trend for DOGE is bearish across all time horizons—short, medium, and long-term. This paints a rather grim picture for the asset in its current state.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is above the MACD Signal Line, indicating bullish momentum. However, this is counterbalanced by a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of less than 45, which is a bearish signal.

The nearest support zones are at $0.060 and $0.053, while resistance is found at $0.070 and then at $0.100. These levels are crucial for traders to watch, as they could dictate the asset’s future direction.

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Wallet Metrics: A Tale of Two Extremes

According to data from IntoTheBlock, 41% of DOGE wallet addresses are currently in the green with unrealized profits. While this might seem like a positive indicator, it also means these wallets are more likely to engage in “profit-taking,” thereby increasing selling pressure on DOGE.

However, it’s worth noting that 56% of wallet addresses are “underwater,” meaning they are currently at a loss.

Global In/Out of the Money: The Recovery Potential

The ratio of DOGE wallet addresses that are profitable versus those that are underwater is a key metric to watch. As long as the number of wallets facing unrealized losses surpasses those with unrealized gains, DOGE has a higher likelihood of resuming an upward trajectory.

In summary, DOGE is at a critical juncture. With mixed momentum indicators and a downtrend across all time frames, the cryptocurrency is treading on thin ice. However, the higher percentage of underwater wallets suggests that there may still be room for recovery. As always, investors should exercise caution and conduct their own due diligence.

Is the DOGE Dream Fading Away?

The recent downturn in DOGE’s price has led many to question whether the once-viral cryptocurrency is losing its luster. The bearish trends and mixed momentum indicators paint a picture of uncertainty, casting doubt on the asset’s ability to return to its former glory.

While the community remains hopeful, the data suggests that the “DOGE Dream” may be on shaky ground. The coming weeks will be pivotal in determining whether DOGE can reignite its upward trajectory or if it will continue to languish in bearish territory. As it stands, the dream isn’t necessarily dead, but it’s certainly facing a stern test of its resilience.

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Felix Küster
Felix Küster

Felix Kuester works as an analyst and content manager for Captainaltcoin and specializes in chart analysis and blockchain technology. He is also actively involved in the crypto community - both online as a central contact in the Facebook and Telegram channel of Captainaltcoin and offline as an interviewer he always maintains an ongoing interaction with startups, developers and visionaries. The physicist has couple of years of professional experience as project manager and technological consultant. Felix has for many years been enthusiastic not only about the technological dimension of crypto currencies, but also about the socio-economic vision behind them.

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