Crypto is preparing for one of the pivotal moments of this year. On March 1, 2026, the White House faces a deadline tied to finalizing the CLARITY Act, a major U.S. crypto market structure bill. With Bitcoin stabilizing after weeks of pressure, traders are watching closely. XRP is currently trading around $1.40, while Solana sits near $85, both recovering from sharp drawdowns earlier this year.
If regulatory clarity finally arrives, sentiment could shift quickly. Here’s how ChatGPT models a realistic, optimistic outlook for both assets based on current structure, technical positioning, and potential macro impact.
What you'll learn 👉
What the CLARITY Act Could Change
The CLARITY Act aims to define which digital assets fall under SEC or CFTC oversight, establish registration pathways for exchanges and brokers, and bring clearer rules around custody and disclosure. It also attempts to resolve disputes around stablecoin yield between crypto firms and banks.
If passed in a clean form, the biggest impact would not be immediate price spikes, but reduced regulatory uncertainty. Historically, markets reprice risk assets higher when uncertainty declines. Capital that has been sidelined tends to return gradually, especially to large-cap tokens with strong liquidity.
XRP, given its long history of regulatory friction in the U.S., would likely be one of the primary beneficiaries. Solana, as a leading smart contract platform competing with Ethereum, could also benefit from improved institutional participation.
XRP Price Outlook If Clarity Arrives
On the 2-hour chart, XRP is trading near $1.39–$1.40, well below its 200-day moving average, which sits above $2.20. The broader trend since late 2025 has been downward, with lower highs and lower lows. RSI is in the mid-range, not deeply oversold but not showing strong bullish momentum either.
Key levels:
- Immediate support: $1.25–$1.30
- Major support: $1.10
- Resistance: $1.60, then $1.95–$2.00
- 200-day MA zone: ~$2.20–$2.30
If the CLARITY Act passes and broader sentiment improves, XRP would likely first target the $1.60–$1.70 range. A sustained break above $2.00 would signal structural recovery and open the door to retesting the 200-day moving average.
Realistic Optimistic 2026 Target for XRP
Under a constructive regulatory backdrop and improving market cycle conditions, XRP could trade in the $3.50 to $6.00 range by late 2026.
That represents roughly a 2.5x–4x move from current levels. This assumes:
- Regulatory overhang significantly reduced
- Broader crypto market recovery led by Bitcoin
- Renewed institutional flows into large-cap altcoins
A move beyond $4 would require a full bull market expansion phase, not just regulatory clarity alone.
Solana Price Outlook If Clarity Arrives
Solana is currently trading around $85, after a prolonged decline from its late-2025 highs near $250. The 200-day moving average is far above price, near the $150–$160 region, showing the depth of the downtrend.
RSI is neutral on the 2-hour timeframe, indicating consolidation rather than panic selling.
Key levels:
- Immediate support: $78–$80
- Major support: $70
- Resistance: $95–$100
- Major resistance: $120
- 200-day MA: ~$155–$160
If regulatory clarity improves risk appetite, Solana could reclaim the psychological $100 level fairly quickly. A break above $120 would shift medium-term structure and increase the probability of a broader trend reversal.
Realistic Optimistic 2026 Target for Solana
In a scenario where the CLARITY Act reduces institutional hesitation and the broader market enters recovery mode, Solana could trade in the $150 to $280 range by the end of 2026.
That implies a 1.8x–3.3x move from current levels.
To exceed $200 again, Solana would likely need:
- Strong DeFi and ecosystem growth
- Renewed NFT or consumer activity
- Clear institutional participation
Overall, XRP appears more directly tied to U.S. regulatory outcomes, which could make it more reactive if the CLARITY Act passes cleanly. Solana, meanwhile, is more correlated to overall crypto liquidity cycles.
If the bill delivers genuine structural clarity, 2026 could mark the beginning of a recovery.
Read also: A Surprising On-Chain Signal Is Flashing for Bitcoin
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for daily crypto updates, market insights, and expert analysis.
