The Kaspa price had a solid week compared to other altcoins considering KAS pumped 7% and is now trading around $0.077.
Relatively unknown crypto YouTuber ‘Bitcoin Hoodie Guy’ who has around 6k subscribers posted an interesting video about Kaspa in which he tried to calculate what needs to happen for KAS to hit $10.
What you'll learn 👉
The Reality Behind $10 Kaspa
Bitcoin Hoodie Guy begins his analysis by setting realistic expectations. He makes it clear that a $10 Kaspa price is highly speculative. Even though not completely impossible, he considers it unlikely and focuses on examining the math and scenarios that would need to unfold for such a price target.
Looking at the Kaspa price history, one of the peaks occurred in November 2023, when Bitcoin was trading at around $37,000 and KAS reached about $0.15. In Bitcoin terms, this meant Kaspa was worth 0.000004 BTC (five zeros and a 4).
For Kaspa to hit $10, Bitcoin Hoodie Guy calculates that if Bitcoin reaches $195,000, KAS would need to hit 0.0000512 BTC. This represents a 12.5x increase on its Bitcoin ratio – equivalent to 1,200% growth in Bitcoin terms. Such a price would give Kaspa a market capitalization of roughly $260 billion.
Comparing with Other Major Altcoins
To put this in perspective, the YouTuber examines how other major altcoins have performed historically on Bitcoin charts:
Binance Coin (BNB) jumped from 0.0004 BTC to nearly 0.018 BTC which is a 310% gain. Cardano (ADA) saw its all-time highs in 2017 and 2021 differ by only 13.2% in Bitcoin value. Solana experienced an 800% Bitcoin gain between its 2020 and 2021 highs.
For the Kaspa price to reach $10, it would need to outperform even Solana’s impressive run, making it an extremely optimistic projection that goes beyond historical patterns seen in the crypto market.
The YouTuber highlights not getting emotionally attached to the $10 target. Investors with large Kaspa holdings might never take profits if they only aim for such a high price point. Instead, he suggests taking partial profits on the way up and remaining flexible based on changing market conditions.
He illustrates this with a hypothetical scenario: If someone bought 100,000 KAS at $0.01 (a $1,000 investment), at $1 it would be worth $100,000, at $5 it would be $500,000, and at $10 it would reach $1 million. However, he warns that an 85% drop from $5 would bring KAS back to $0.75, reducing that half-million portfolio to just $75,000.
The calculations become even more challenging if Bitcoin only reaches $150,000 instead of $195,000. In that case, Kaspa would need an even higher Bitcoin ratio to hit $10, making the goal increasingly implausible unless Bitcoin goes much higher or Kaspa dramatically outperforms market history.
Bitcoin Hoodie Guy concludes by pointing out that many large-cap crypto projects never reached the $260 billion market cap that a $10 Kaspa would require. While dreaming big isn’t wrong, he encourages investors to maintain realistic expectations and prepare for different scenarios.
In our opinion – Is Kaspa price target of $10 realistic? In 2025, for sure not. But, 5 years from now? You never know in crypto.
Read also: Kaspa (KAS) Is Building the Fastest L2 You’ve Never Heard Of: Here’s Why It Matters
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