The XRP price correlates closely with how quickly the United States manages to establish crypto regulation, but the process itself does not proceed according to any schedule. The CLARITY Act, whose purpose is to provide a proper asset classification, faces numerous obstacles at the Senate level.
The lawmakers have yet to solve their budget disagreements, along with an incredibly busy agenda of introducing the housing legislation, farm bill, and extension of FISA authorization until June 12. This means that the behind-the-scenes merger of the draft bills is being discussed and a floor vote is expected in early July rather than in June.
However, no certainty regarding the date of the final vote can be reached at this point, and that will likely push it towards either August recess of 2026 or early 2027 at all. Such an outcome is important due to its effect on the XRP price, which trades actively based on the hopes of regulatory transparency.
What you'll learn 👉
XRP Price Stays Locked in a Range
After analysing the XRP chart, it can be seen that the currency continues to trade within a wide range between $1.30 and $1.55 since March 2026. At present, the XRP price trades near the lower end of this range after a decline followed by an unsuccessful rebound attempt.
What matters most is the area of $1.4096, or SMA 100. Each time when the XRP price approaches this area, sellers enter the market to force it downwards. Right now, the price is trying to stabilize around $1.34–$1.35.
Volume around 8.92M on the 4H timeframe shows there is participation, but not enough conviction to break the range. RSI sits at 45.08, which is neutral with a slight recovery tone after earlier weakness.
There are also repeated bullish divergences at the lower end of the range, which usually point to short-term bounce attempts, not full trend changes. If XRP loses $1.34, the next area to watch is $1.30–$1.32. If it manages to reclaim $1.41–$1.43, the upper part of the range near $1.50–$1.55 comes back into focus.
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What Happens to XRP Price if CLARITY Gets Delayed
A delay into 2027 changes the way traders position around XRP price expectations. The big idea is simple: without clear rules, institutional money tends to move slower.
The CLARITY Act is seen as a key piece that could classify XRP more clearly and potentially open the door to ETF-related inflows. If that clarity gets pushed out, the XRP price likely stays in a reactive mode instead of entering a strong trend phase.
At the same time, the broader policy environment is mixed. The U.S. government has been pushing fintech access discussions through executive orders that ask the Federal Reserve to review payment system access for non-traditional institutions.
There is also a “skinny master account” framework being worked on, but most crypto-related firms still fall under Tier 3, which is effectively paused until late 2026. So even if progress continues in the background, it is not fast enough to remove uncertainty from XRP price action in the short term.
Native XRP Price Outlook
In a delayed CLARITY Act scenario, the XRP price likely stays range-bound. The main battlefield remains between $1.30 and $1.55. If buyers manage to push through $1.41 and hold above it, the XRP price can retest $1.50–$1.55.
That would be the upper edge of the current range and the strongest bullish outcome without a regulatory catalyst. If the range breaks lower and $1.30 fails, the next support zone sits around $1.25–$1.28.
A delay in the CLARITY Act into 2027 keeps the XRP price stuck in a waiting pattern. The market is reacting more to policy timing than anything happening on the chart. Until $1.41 is reclaimed with conviction, XRP stays in a sideways structure where traders focus on range levels instead of trend continuation.
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