Ripple price has slipped below a level that held firm for a long time, and that shift has quietly changed the tone around XRP price. After trading comfortably above $2 for months, XRP now sits closer to $1.8, with downside pressure feeling more real than it has in a while. Moments like this often feel uncomfortable, especially when price weakness drags on. History, though, suggests this specific phase has mattered before in ways that only become clear later.
This drop has also placed XRP below its 50 week simple moving average, a long-term trend line that rarely gets ignored. According to Steph Is Crypto, this area has historically marked a transition phase rather than a final destination. The market tends to slow down here, shake out weak structure, and then decide its next direction.
The 50 Week SMA Has Marked Turning Points In Every Major XRP Cycle
Steph Is Crypto highlighted a repeating pattern tied to the 50-week SMA that shows up across multiple XRP cycles. Each time XRP breaks below this moving average and remains there for a specific window, the market eventually shifts from contraction to expansion.
Data from the chart shows that during the 2017 cycle, XRP stayed below the 50-week SMA for about 70 days before launching into a move that delivered roughly a 211% gain. The 2021 cycle followed a similar structure, with XRP spending close to 49 days below the same level before a rebound of about 70%. The most dramatic example came during the 2024 cycle, when XRP remained below the 50-week SMA for around 84 days, followed by an expansion that reached about 850%.
Each case shared the same core behavior. Price slipped below a long-term trend line, stayed suppressed for several weeks, and then transitioned into a strong directional move.
XRP Is Now Matching The Same Time Based Structure Again
The current XRP price setup mirrors those earlier cycles closely. Steph Is Crypto notes that XRP has now spent around 70 days below the 50 week SMA, placing it squarely inside the same historical window seen before previous expansions. This does not mean an immediate reversal is guaranteed, yet it does place the market at a familiar crossroads.
What makes this setup interesting is timing rather than price alone. Past rallies did not begin the moment XRP dipped below the moving average. Strength emerged after the market spent enough time below it, allowing selling pressure to cool and structure to rebuild. The chart illustrates this clearly by highlighting how each cycle needed patience before momentum returned.
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Ripple price behavior during these periods has tended to compress rather than spiral endlessly lower. Sideways movement, smaller candles, and reduced volatility often followed the initial breakdown below the moving average. That same behavior is visible again, with XRP price hovering near $1.8 and struggling to find immediate direction.
Steph Is Crypto uses the chart to show that this phase has historically represented the end of downside pressure rather than the beginning of a prolonged decline. The moving average acts less like a trigger and more like a measuring tool for how long the market needs to reset.
XRP sitting inside this historical window does not promise a specific outcome. Markets change, conditions evolve, and past behavior does not lock in future results. Still, the repetition of this structure across multiple cycles explains why the pattern continues to attract attention.
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