The SEC vs Ripple case is finally over, and the next big question on everyone’s mind is simple – what happens to the XRP price if Ripple ETFs get approved?
According to prediction market Polymarket, the odds are high. In early June, traders gave over 90% probability that a Ripple ETF would go live in 2025. While that figure has cooled slightly to around 77%, the market is still expecting something big. And if history is any guide, XRP might be gearing up for a massive move.
Let’s take Bitcoin as a benchmark. After the SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024, BTC rallied from $40,000 to over $100,000 in less than a year. That’s a 150% gain fueled by institutional inflows and renewed media attention. Now, with XRP trading at $2.19 and its legal battle behind it, some are wondering – could it be XRP’s turn?
To answer that, we asked GPT to run a few scenarios.
Here are the XRP price predictions if Ripple ETFs get approved:
- Conservative Scenario (same path as Bitcoin): XRP hits $5.50 to $6.00 within 12 months of ETF approval.
- Optimistic Scenario (if institutional adoption kicks in faster): XRP climbs to $10 to $15, potentially within 18 months.
- Extreme Bull Case (if XRP captures major liquidity in cross-border payments and CBDCs): XRP reaches $25 to $30 before 2027.
These projections assume that a Ripple ETF acts as a major catalyst, opening the floodgates for hedge funds, wealth managers, and banks to start accumulating XRP – many of them for the very first time.
With institutional access unlocked through ETFs, XRP could finally start realizing the kind of global financial use case Ripple has been building toward for years. And if it breaks out of the $2–$3 range with real volume behind it, momentum alone could send it into price discovery mode.
Some analysts believe ETF approval would act like a stamp of legitimacy, making XRP a viable option for portfolios that have so far only considered Bitcoin or Ethereum.
Of course, this is crypto – nothing is guaranteed. But one thing is clear: the end of the lawsuit removed a giant weight from XRP’s shoulders. And if the SEC gives the green light for a Ripple ETF, it could be the final spark needed to ignite XRP’s next major rally.
As always, it’s not just about what XRP does next. It’s about who’s allowed to buy it – and an ETF would open the gates to an entirely new class of buyers.
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