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Will Bitcoin Witness a -40% Plunge During the 2024 Halving? Analyst Shares Crucial Information

Temitope Olatunji

January 9, 2024

Crypto trader Rekt Capital recently shed light on a plausible scenario that could see Bitcoin experience a significant 40% drop around its upcoming halving event. Drawing on historical patterns, Rekt Capital highlighted the importance of the current 42-day window leading up to the pre-halving rally.

The Orange Box: A Crucial 42-Day Period

Rekt Capital emphasized the need to focus on the upcoming 42-day phase, represented by the distinctive orange box in the price action chart. This timeframe serves as the countdown to the pre-halving rally, a phase known for its upward trajectory following a retracement in Bitcoin’s price.

Source: CoinStats – Start using it today

Examining past events, Rekt Capital pointed out the occurrence of a 20% pre-halving retrace in 2020. Comparing this to the current situation, there arises a pertinent question: Could history repeat itself with a potential 40% pre-halving retrace in the coming days?

The trader delved into the intricacies of the pre-halving retrace puzzle. If the next 40 days witness a deep retrace, could this lead to a shallower retrace around the halving event itself? Conversely, a shallow retrace now might imply a deeper correction during the pre-halving retrace period.

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