Monero (XMR) price is having a big day. It is up more than 10% and sitting around $407, and the higher trading volume pushed it to the top of the market today.
After weeks of slow movement, the Monero chart finally looks active again. Here’s what pushed this move.
A big part of today’s rally comes from expectations around the Federal Reserve. Markets started pricing in a possible rate cut, and that usually lifts assets that tend to benefit when the dollar weakens.
The XMR price often performs well during these moments, and traders positioned ahead of the Fed announcement. With volatility already elevated, the conditions were right for a faster move once buyers stepped in.
Another catalyst is sector rotation into privacy coins. Both XMR and ZEC jumped, supported by new private-swap features and growing concerns about CBDC surveillance. Monero remains the strongest name in this category, and renewed interest pushed more traders toward it.
On-chain analysts even flagged large Bitcoin flows converting into XMR, something that tends to happen during periods of rising demand for privacy. This lifted sentiment further and added fuel to the move.
What the XMR Chart Is Showing Now
The 4H chart adds more clues. The XMR price is pushing off a higher low and moving back toward the $400–$420 zone, where the last big rejection happened. The price structure shows steady higher highs and higher lows forming again, which is a sign of early trend recovery.
The wick toward $471 earlier in the month still stands as a major resistance level, but today’s breakout is the first clean attempt to move back toward it.
Open interest on the chart sits near $238M and has stabilized after weeks of decline. This suggests fresh positions are opening again, and the move is not powered only by short covering.
ATR is sitting around the lower end of its recent range, showing that volatility has room to expand if momentum continues.
CCI has flipped from negative back toward positive territory, which usually signals a shift in short-term trend strength. OBV, which tracks buying pressure, is curling upward after a long downtrend – a good sign that real spot demand is returning.
If the XMR price can close firmly above $410, the chart opens a path toward the next major area around $438. That was the swing high from mid-November and will be a key level to watch.
If the Fed delivers a dovish message later today, the Monero price may get the extra push it needs. If not, traders may look to lock in profits after this sharp move.
For now, the XMR chart finally shows life again – and the rally looks supported both by fundamentals and by technical signals.
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