Hedera has been one of the most talked-about crypto projects in recent months. Many bullish predictions have poured in from analysts across social media and YouTube. Yet despite all the hype, the reality on the charts paints a very different picture. The HBAR price is still lagging, and 2025 has not been kind to holders so far.
A lot of analysts act more like crypto cheerleaders than real observers of the market. If we go by many of their predictions, Hedera should be breaking new highs by now, and HBAR holders should be swimming in profit. But the opposite is true. We are halfway into 2025, and HBAR is trading well below where it started the year.
What you'll learn 👉
HBAR Price Has Underperformed in 2025
On January 1, 2025, Hedera was trading around $0.28. Now it is sitting closer to $0.16, down by about 40%. This kind of move wasn’t predicted by most analysts who were calling for big upside. Instead of asking how to manage excess profits, many holders are wondering when the bleeding will stop.
This poor performance raises serious questions about the likelihood of HBAR hitting $1 in 2025. For that to happen from the current $0.16 level, the HBAR price would need to rise by about 525%. At first glance, that seems achievable in the crypto space where tokens can jump by over 1,000% in just a few weeks. Onyxcoin (XCN), for example, surged more than 1,500% within two weeks earlier this year.
However, HBAR’s current chart structure suggests a completely different direction. The price action is showing signs of weakness, and indicators suggest that more downside is possible before any potential reversal.
Hedera’s Fundamentals: Still Solid, But Not Enough
Hedera uses the Hashgraph consensus mechanism to enable fast, secure transactions. The network supports smart contracts, low fees, and fair transaction ordering. It is backed by major corporate partners like Google, IBM, and Boeing, who sit on its governing council.
From a technology and partnership standpoint, Hedera is impressive. The platform is being developed for real-world enterprise use cases including DeFi, NFTs, and supply chain tracking. Ongoing upgrades focus on speed, security, and usability. It’s even aligned with the ISO 20022 standard, giving it a potential edge for regulatory compliance and institutional adoption.
That said, none of these positives are translating into upward momentum for the HBAR price. The broader crypto market trends, competition from other blockchain platforms, and hesitation from institutional players are still major hurdles.
HBAR Price Pattern Signals Bearish Momentum
The current structure of the HBAR price is forming a descending triangle. This is a bearish pattern that often leads to a breakdown. The horizontal support level near $0.12 has been tested several times. Each bounce has been weaker than the last, and the pattern of lower highs shows that buyer interest is fading.
The triangle is closing in on its apex, and if the price breaks below the $0.12 level, the next likely support could be around $0.09 to $0.10. This suggests there may still be more room to fall before any serious recovery attempt begins.
RSI and MACD Indicators Are Still Bearish
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently around 42.96. That is below the neutral level of 50 and suggests that bearish momentum is still dominating. The RSI has failed to break above 50 multiple times, and its most recent attempt stalled near 40. This type of move often happens before another leg downward. There’s also no bullish divergence on the RSI, which further confirms the weak momentum.
The MACD is showing the same weakness. The MACD line is only slightly above the signal line and does not show real strength. The histogram is shrinking and looks ready to turn red again. This indicates that the recent bounce is losing steam. There was a bearish crossover in early May, and the MACD has not shown convincing strength since then. The last significant bullish wave was back in late 2024, but it did not hold.
These indicators all tell the same story: HBAR buyers are not stepping up in force. Sellers are still in control, and small bounces are being sold rather than accumulated.
Will HBAR Hit $1 in 2025?
While the Hedera network has strong fundamentals, the HBAR price is not reflecting that optimism. Technical indicators and price patterns suggest weakness, not strength. RSI is still low. MACD is bearish. Price is trending in a descending triangle with repeated failed attempts to break higher.
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A move to $1 from $0.16 would require a 525% surge. That kind of move is not impossible in crypto, but based on the current outlook, it is highly unlikely for 2025. Unless there is a massive shift in sentiment, broader crypto rally, or a sudden bullish breakout backed by strong volume, HBAR is not on track to reach that milestone this year.
So despite the bullish talk and hopeful predictions, the charts are saying something else entirely. For now, the $1 dream may have to wait.
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