With the world on edge after the recent U.S. airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, crypto markets are already showing signs of stress. Ethereum dipped below $2,300, and altcoins across the board are flashing red. But what happens if things get worse?
To find out, we decided to ask GPT – one of the most advanced AI models – what might happen to the prices of two of the most popular altcoins: XRP and Cardano (ADA). At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $2.08, and ADA is hovering near $0.55.
The question we asked was simple: If the Iran–US conflict escalates into a broader war, what would be a realistic short-term downside for both XRP and ADA?
What you'll learn 👉
AI’s View on XRP: “Market Sentiment Will Lead the Way”
According to the AI, XRP’s current strength is mostly tied to investor confidence following Ripple’s ongoing progress with institutional partnerships and legal clarity. But in a risk-off environment like a war, those fundamentals may not be enough to hold the line.
“If the conflict escalates, XRP could see a short-term drop toward the $1.65 to $1.75 range,” the AI predicted. That would be a 15% to 20% decline from current levels. In a more severe panic scenario, where global markets sell off aggressively, the AI suggests a retest of $1.25 isn’t off the table – especially if liquidity dries up and sentiment turns fully bearish.
Still, it also added that XRP has shown resilience in past downturns, especially when Bitcoin remains above key support levels.
AI’s View on ADA: “Much More Vulnerable to Risk-Off Events”
Cardano, on the other hand, may face a tougher road.
While ADA has strong long-term supporters and an active development community, the AI model noted that Cardano tends to bleed harder than XRP during sharp corrections. If war headlines dominate the market, ADA could drop to the $0.42 to $0.45 zone, which would be a 20% drop from current prices.
In a full panic, the model estimates ADA could even dip as low as $0.35. That would erase all of its gains from the past six months.
Why? “ADA’s lower trading volume and heavier reliance on retail interest make it more exposed to fear-driven selling,” the AI explained.
What Could Prevent This?
Both projections assume that the conflict intensifies and leads to broader economic uncertainty. But the AI also pointed out that if Bitcoin holds above $100,000, and the war is limited in scope with no direct disruptions to financial systems, the impact may be smaller or short-lived.
Altcoins usually recover once the dust settles – especially those with real use cases. But in the heat of global tension, traders often panic first and ask questions later.
Bottom Line: If the U.S.–Iran conflict escalates into a prolonged war, AI sees XRP dipping toward $1.65, and ADA sliding as low as $0.42 – with a more extreme scenario pushing both even lower. As always in crypto, geopolitics matters more than we’d like to admit. Stay cautious, stay informed, and don’t underestimate the power of headlines.
Read also: Crypto Analyst Warns: XRP On-Chain Metrics Collapse as Price Stays Flat
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