This week started rough for Bitcoin. It dropped below $77,000, down more than 8%, and over $1.3 billion in crypto trades have been liquidated, making this one of the wildest weeks since 2020. Ethereum is also struggling, now trading below $1,500 and reaching its lowest point in almost two years.
Cardano’s price has fallen too, currently at $0.5548, which is far from its record high of $3.10 back in 2021. It’s down more than 13% today alone, though trading volume has jumped by over 390%, indicating many investors are still paying attention.
With Bitcoin threatening to fall further, possibly down to $70,000, we wanted to see what that might mean for ADA. So, we asked ChatGPT for a price prediction based on that scenario. It came back with three possible outcomes: pessimistic, realistic, and optimistic.
What you'll learn 👉
Pessimistic Scenario: ADA Price Falls to $0.42–$0.46
If Bitcoin drops to $70,000 or lower, ADA could see an accelerated sell-off. A breakdown below the $0.50 support might trigger panic among retail traders.
In this case, Cardano price could decline by up to 24%, reaching between $0.42 and $0.46. Retail sentiment could outweigh institutional interest in the short term, especially if the broader macroeconomic environment remains unstable.
Adding pressure, global trade tensions and new U.S. tariffs are already impacting investor confidence. If altcoins follow Bitcoin’s lead, ADA price may struggle to hold its key support levels.
Read Also: Analyst Spots Repeating Pattern as XRP Price Holds: Is the Shakeout Over?
Realistic Scenario: ADA Price Holds Between $0.50–$0.55
If Bitcoin finds support at $70,000 and avoids further breakdown, ADA may stabilize close to its current level. Institutional inflows and strong social sentiment could help maintain a trading range.
Grayscale currently holds 22.91% ADA in its smart contract fund. The token also ranks as the 4th most-mentioned U.S. asset on LunarCrush, which suggests continued engagement.
Based on recent 30-day candlestick patterns, the price of Cardano (ADA) remains within a descending wedge, a formation often followed by a reversal if momentum returns.
Optimistic Scenario: ADA Price Moves Up to $0.60–$0.68
In a best-case scenario, Bitcoin’s drop to $70,000 is short-lived. If BTC’s price rebounds quickly, ADA could benefit from renewed bullish momentum.
Announcements such as Cardano’s live integration demo at the 2025 Bitcoin Conference and the proposed ETF filing may act as catalysts. Influencers like Alex Becker and Ash Crypto have also called ADA one of the top crypto bets of this cycle.
Under these conditions, ADA price could move toward the $0.65 resistance zone, potentially reaching $0.68 if market momentum improves and traders begin accumulating
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