Analyst Celal Kucuker believes XLM may be approaching one of the most important support areas on its long-term chart.
His monthly setup shows Stellar sitting near the lower boundary of a multi-year structure that has repeatedly preceded much larger price expansions.
Kucuker believes another explosive move could eventually send XLM toward roughly $1.43, with an extended bull-market target near $5.41.
Those are aggressive projections, but the chart does show why the current area has caught his attention.
What you'll learn 👉
Stellar Is Back Near Long-Term Support
XLM currently trades around $0.149 after falling approximately 8% over the past week and nearly 24% over the last month.
Kucuker’s monthly chart places price close to a rising macro support line that has been forming for years.
His argument is based partly on repetition.
XLM has gone through several long periods of compression before suddenly moving higher, including the structures leading into the 2020 and 2024 rallies.
The current setup again shows price trapped between rising support and a long-term descending resistance line.
That creates a large narrowing formation.
For the bullish scenario to gain credibility, XLM would first need to break that descending resistance and reclaim the broader $0.18-$0.20 region.
Until then, the chart remains a potential setup, not a confirmed reversal.
$1.43 Would Already Be a Massive Stellar Move
The first large target on Kucuker’s chart sits around $1.4268.
From approximately $0.15, reaching that level would mean a gain of roughly 850%.
It would also take XLM well above its previous all-time high.
CoinGecko records Stellar’s historical ATH at approximately $0.8756, not $1.50.
So a move to $1.43 would represent genuine price discovery rather than simply a retest of an old peak.
Using Stellar’s current circulating supply of roughly 35.4 billion XLM, a $1.43 price would imply a market capitalization close to $50 billion.
That is ambitious, but still far less extreme than the second target.
The $5.41 XLM Target Requires a Completely Different Market
Kucuker’s extended target is approximately $5.41.
From current prices, that would represent a move of more than 3,500%.
At today’s circulating supply, it would imply a market value around $190 billion.
That would place Stellar among the largest crypto assets in the world.
So $5 should be treated as a full-cycle projection, not a realistic near-term target.
For that scenario to become plausible, Stellar would likely need both a broad altcoin bull market and a significant increase in actual network demand.
Stellar Fundamentals Have Improved Despite Weak XLM Price
There is at least some fundamental progress supporting the long-term case.
MetaMask made Stellar a default network in October, giving every existing MetaMask account a Stellar address without additional setup. Stellar said the network processed $55.6 billion in payment volume during 2025, up 52% year over year.
Stellar has also expanded its tokenization and DeFi infrastructure.
Chainlink went live on Stellar in October, adding oracle infrastructure to an ecosystem that Stellar says already contains more than $4 billion in real-world assets. Securitize also announced Stellar integration, while Curve launched its first native non-EVM deployment on the network.
Those developments do not automatically translate into XLM buying pressure.
But they do make Stellar fundamentally different from a token relying only on an old chart pattern.
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