The SEI price has spent months moving in the wrong direction, slowly grinding lower and wearing out traders along the way. Every small bounce faded quickly, and confidence kept slipping. That may finally be changing.
According to Michaël van de Poppe, SEI has now pushed above its 21-day moving average, something it hasn’t managed to do since last summer.
On its own, that might not sound like a big deal. But when you look at the broader context, it stands out as one of the first real signs that the trend could be turning.
What you'll learn 👉
Why the 21-Day Moving Average Is a Big Deal for SEI
Throughout SEI’s downtrend, the 21-day MA acted like a ceiling. Every rally attempt ran straight into it and rolled over. This time feels different. The price didn’t just tag the level and reject, it actually broke through and started to stabilize above it.
That doesn’t guarantee a full reversal yet, but it does indicate momentum is shifting. Instead of sellers controlling every bounce, buyers are starting to show up earlier and push back. That’s usually how trend changes begin, quietly and without much excitement at first.
$SEI broke through the 21-Day MA and is starting a new uptrend.
— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) January 3, 2026
I can't deny the fact that they have been constantly growing their ecoysystem.
Most active EVM chain in December with more than 1M active accounts.
This would mean that, given the amount of liquidity that's ready… pic.twitter.com/hHPizqtlDR
Right now, the key area to watch sits around $0.15–$0.16. That zone lines up with prior resistance and the former breakdown area. If the SEI price can reclaim it and hold, the structure starts to look much healthier.
Liquidity Above Is Hard to Ignore
Another thing that stands out on the chart is how clean the downside move was before this bounce. SEI swept liquidity below $0.11, shook out weak hands, and then stopped going lower. That kind of move often marks the end of aggressive selling.
Van de Poppe points out that a lot of short positions are likely sitting above current price. If SEI continues to push higher, those shorts could get squeezed, adding momentum to the move. That’s usually where price starts moving faster than expected.
Read Also: Ethereum Usage Hits Record High as ETH Price Prepares for a Q1 Recovery
Ecosystem Growth Supports the Setup
This isn’t just about the chart. SEI’s ecosystem has been quietly expanding in the background. In December, it was the most active EVM-compatible chain, with more than 1 million active accounts.
That kind of activity matters, especially in a market where many networks are struggling to keep users engaged.
Strong usage doesn’t guarantee higher prices, but it does make technical breakouts more believable. When fundamentals and price action start lining up, markets tend to respond.
What Comes Next for SEI
If the SEI price can stay above the 21-day MA, the next area traders will be watching sits around $0.24–$0.26. That zone lines up with previous consolidation and acts as a natural upside target if momentum keeps building.
For now, the focus is straightforward. As long as SEI holds above its recent breakout and doesn’t slip back into the old downtrend, the bias stays upward. It’s still early, but for the first time in a while, SEI looks like it’s setting up for more than just another short-lived bounce.
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