Kaspa price may be approaching one of its most important moments since its steep correction began. KAS remains deep below its record high, and several technical measures still favor sellers. However, 2 unusual developments now offer clues that the market could be preparing for a decisive move.
A bullish divergence has appeared on the weekly chart at the same time that Kaspa has broken away from Bitcoin price movements. Neither development confirms a recovery, although both could help determine what happens next.
Kaspa Daily identified a bullish divergence between Kaspa price and the weekly Relative Strength Index. KAS has continued to record lower lows along a descending trendline, with the token recently trading near $0.0275.
The weekly RSI has moved in the opposite direction and produced higher lows. Such a pattern means every new price low has arrived with weaker downward force than the previous one.
A bullish divergence can appear before a market reversal because sellers gradually lose their advantage. Still, Kaspa Daily warned that the pattern represents a slow signal instead of an immediate trigger.
Kaspa is showing a bullish divergence on the weekly.
— Kaspa Daily (@DailyKaspa) July 30, 2026
Price has kept grinding to lower lows, down near $0.0275 along a clean descending trendline. But underneath, weekly RSI is doing the opposite, carving higher lows while price falls. Momentum is quietly building even as price… pic.twitter.com/fpLLs0uuXV
Weekly divergences can remain unresolved for several weeks. They can also fail if Kaspa price breaks below its current structure with strong volume. RSI remains below 50, which means bullish momentum has not taken control.
The main technical points include:
- Kaspa price continues to record lower lows along its descending trendline.
- Weekly RSI has produced higher lows during the same period.
- Each new low appears to carry less downward force.
- RSI remains below 50, so sellers still control the broader trend.
The divergence therefore deserves attention, although Kaspa still needs confirmation before buyers can claim control.
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Kaspa Decouples From Bitcoin as Its Correlation Turns Negative
Kaspa Daily identified another unusual development in the relationship between KAS and Bitcoin. Kaspa’s 30 day correlation with BTC recently dropped to negative 0.53.
Most of 2026 produced a much closer relationship between both assets. Kaspa’s correlation with Bitcoin remained near 0.75 earlier this month before falling below zero within several days.
Kaspa just decoupled from Bitcoin, 30-day correlation flipped to -0.53.
— Kaspa Daily (@DailyKaspa) July 30, 2026
For most of the year KAS traded largely in step with BTC, correlation sitting up near 0.75 as recently as this month. In a matter of days it's dropped through zero into negative territory, Kaspa now moving… pic.twitter.com/UIlBEGyYLy
That change means KAS has recently moved in the opposite direction from Bitcoin. Kaspa price is now responding more heavily to activity within its own market instead of simply following BTC price.
Negative correlation does not automatically favor a recovery. Kaspa could rise when Bitcoin falls, although it could also decline during a BTC price recovery. Project specific demand, liquidity, network developments, and capital flows could now have greater influence over its next move.
This decoupling gives Kaspa greater independence from the broader crypto market. However, the outcome still depends on whether Kaspa specific demand can overcome the existing selling pressure.
GiaVV Believes Another Deep Kaspa Price Decline Has Become Less Likely
Crypto commentator GiaVV offered another perspective on Kaspa’s current position. She questioned expectations that KAS must revisit much lower levels before establishing a durable recovery.
Kaspa has already lost more than 80% of its value since reaching its all time high. GiaVV argued that the token has returned to an area that previously attracted accumulation. The broader structure now appears more stable after several months of selling pressure.
I keep seeing more and more comments from people saying:
— GiaVV𐤊 (@giavviola) July 30, 2026
"I'm waiting for $KAS to drop back to $0.01 before I buy."
But looking at the chart, that expectation seems increasingly unrealistic.#Kaspa has already gone through a deep correction, falling more than 80% from its… pic.twitter.com/FwaxppMNN3
Her case does not depend only on price action. GiaVV pointed to continued wallet growth and wider token distribution across an increasing number of holders.
Wallet growth could reduce the amount of KAS controlled by fewer participants. A wider holder base may support network adoption, although wallet numbers alone cannot guarantee higher prices or prevent another decline.
GiaVV acknowledged that another deep correction remains possible during an extraordinary market event. However, she considers that outcome less probable because of ecosystem development, adoption, and continued accumulation.
Kaspa Price Remains Under Heavy Technical Pressure After an 87% Decline
Kaspa reached its all time high of $0.2075 on July 31, 2024. KAS now trades near $0.027, which leaves the token approximately 87% below that peak.
Earlier 2026 trading placed Kaspa price near $0.053 before another decline pushed it into a range between $0.025 and $0.030. That range has since become the main area separating stabilization from another bearish breakdown.
Several market and network indicators provide a clearer picture:
- Kaspa price remains below its 7 day, 30 day, and 200 day simple moving averages.
- The Chaikin Money Flow indicator continues to point toward capital outflows.
- Daily active addresses previously climbed above 200,000 despite the price decline.
- Approximately 97% of Kaspa’s maximum supply has reportedly entered active circulation.
These figures show a clear difference between market performance and network activity. Price remains under pressure, although Kaspa’s network continues to record measurable usage.
High circulating supply could reduce future emission pressure. Still, network usage and demand must improve enough to absorb available tokens before scarcity can have a stronger effect on Kaspa price.
Kaspa Price Outlook Presents 4 Possible Scenarios
Kaspa price projections vary because each scenario requires different levels of adoption, liquidity, and ecosystem progress. The current bullish divergence creates room for a possible recovery, although technical confirmation remains essential.
Immediate Kaspa Price Scenario for 2026
- Kaspa price could remain between $0.025 and $0.035 if trading activity stays weak.
- Limited market catalysts could keep KAS inside its present consolidation range.
- A breakdown below the range could weaken the weekly bullish divergence.
- A confirmed recovery above the range could provide the first stronger reversal clue.
This baseline scenario would extend Kaspa’s current consolidation without confirming a sustainable recovery.
Moderate Kaspa Price Recovery by Late 2026
- Kaspa price could recover toward $0.094 to $0.15 under stronger market conditions.
- Cross chain atomic swaps from projects such as Stroem Finance could support network demand.
- Improved liquidity would need to accompany ecosystem development.
- KAS would need to recover several major resistance levels before reaching these targets.
This scenario requires real network progress to produce stronger demand for KAS. Technical improvement alone may not support such an extensive recovery.
Read Also: XRP and Stellar (XLM) Adoption in Asia Has Already Begun: Here’s What Comes Next
Conservative Kaspa Price Growth During 2027 and 2028
- Conservative projections place KAS between $0.35 and $0.60.
- Broader infrastructure recognition would need to support this price range.
- Institutional interest in proof of work networks could provide another catalyst.
- Network adoption would need to remain consistent across several market cycles.
These targets would place Kaspa well above its previous record high. Reaching them would require sustained adoption instead of a brief market rally.
Optimistic Kaspa Price Expansion by 2030
- Optimistic forecasts place Kaspa between $1 and $2 or higher.
- Broader smart contract adoption would need to create greater demand for KAS.
- Stronger supply pressure could become more relevant as emissions decline.
- Kaspa would need greater usage across applications, payments, and blockchain infrastructure.
This remains the most ambitious Kaspa price scenario. Several technical, network, and market conditions must align before such targets become realistic.
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