Filecoin is opening 2026 with something it hasn’t delivered in a while: real momentum. After months of drifting sideways and frustrating both bulls and bears, FIL has finally pushed higher and broken out of its range.
The move feels decisive, not forced, and it immediately changes how the FIL chart looks heading into January.
What makes this more interesting is the timing. The breakout comes as the broader market steadies, Bitcoin holds its ground, and narratives around AI and DePIN start picking up again. FIL didn’t just move on hype. The chart itself was ready.
What you'll learn 👉
What the Filecoin Chart Is Showing
On the 4-hour chart, FIL spent most of December stuck between roughly $1.20 and $1.35. The FIL price tested that zone over and over, but sellers never managed to push it lower in a meaningful way. That kind of sideways action usually builds pressure, and eventually something has to give.
Once FIL reclaimed the 50-day moving average around $1.39, the pace picked up quickly. The break above the $1.51 Fibonacci level acted like a switch. The price expanded fast and ran toward the mid-$1.50s in a single push, printing the strongest move FIL has seen in months.
Now the focus shifts from the breakout itself to how price behaves afterward. The $1.45–$1.50 area, which capped price for weeks, has turned into support. As long as the FIL price stays above that zone, the structure remains bullish.
Read Also: How High Can Hedera (HBAR) Price Go in January 2026?
Indicators Are Backing the Move
Momentum indicators are doing exactly what you want to see after a breakout. MACD has flipped bullish and continues to trend higher, which indicates this isn’t just a one-candle spike.
RSI has moved up as well, but it’s not stretched. That’s important. It means FIL still has room to move before the market starts worrying about exhaustion.
Volume is another strong confirmation. Trading activity surged during the breakout, jumping well above recent averages. That kind of volume usually signals more serious participation, not just short-term speculation. On-balance volume turning up supports the idea that accumulation is finally returning.
Where FIL Could Head Next in January 2026
From here, the next level to watch is $1.60. If the FIL price can hold above that area, the chart opens up toward the $1.80–$1.90 range, where higher extensions and previous resistance line up.
On the flip side, a pullback wouldn’t automatically be bearish. A dip back toward $1.45 would still fit the breakout structure and give buyers another chance to step in. Only a clean loss of that level would suggest the move needs more time.
The Filecoin rally feels like a reset rather than a blow-off. The chart has flipped, momentum is building, and sellers aren’t showing much urgency yet. If this follow-through sticks, January could be more about continuation than correction for FIL.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for daily crypto updates, market insights, and expert analysis.
