Hedera (HBAR) starts January 2026 in a quiet phase. The network ended December with some positive institutional signals, but price action has not followed through yet. The HBAR price is trading near $0.1078 after a steady decline that began back in October.
There is no panic in the chart, but there is also no clear strength. For now, HBAR is moving sideways, and the market is waiting for direction.
The Hedera price has been trending lower for several months, and December did little to change that picture. Instead of sharp sell-offs, price action slowed into a grind, which often signals that sellers are losing momentum.
At the same time, Canary Capital’s spot HBAR ETF continues to add exposure. The fund now holds roughly 1.1% of the circulating supply, showing steady but cautious institutional interest.
Hedera has also been mentioned as a potential 2026 altseason candidate due to its enterprise focus and network design. So far, fundamentals are holding up better than price.
What you'll learn 👉
What the Hedera Chart Is Showing
Looking at the 4h chart, the trend is still pointing lower. Lower highs and lower lows have remained intact since the October breakdown, and every recovery attempt has been capped quickly.
The Hedera price is now hovering around the $0.105–$0.108 area. This zone has acted as short-term support through the second half of December. Each dip into this range has attracted buyers, but not enough to spark a strong bounce.
The sharp sell-off in October was followed by a slow and controlled decline, not another capitulation. That usually points to exhaustion rather than fear. Still, the structure has not shifted.
For the chart to improve, the HBAR price would need to reclaim the $0.120–$0.125 range and stay above it. Until that happens, the broader trend remains weak.
What Market Indicators Are Saying
The momentum indicators are still showing a level of indecision. The RSI indicator remains in the mid-high thirties. It is not extremely over-sold, but it certainly does not indicate a level of buying divergence.
OBV has been declining for months, making it certain that volume was supporting sellers. The latest development, however, is that OBV has leveled off, which indicates that selling is slowing, even though accumulation has not yet started.
Trading volume remains light, and liquidation activity is low. That usually means leverage has been washed out and the market is calmer, but also less committed. Overall, indicators point to stabilization, not a trend reversal.
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HBAR Price Short-Term Outlook for January 2026
HBAR will most likely remain range-bound until January unless there is a change in market sentiment or a catalyst.
While, as long as the Hedera price stays above the $0.105 level, there is no threat of further downside. A clear break below that level will again bring the $0.095 to $0.100 level into focus.
On the bright side, a break above $0.115 would be the first sign that indeed buyers are getting in. A breach above $0.120 may pave the way for a general recovery; however, this will be facilitated by greater volumes.c
For now, the HBAR price looks like it is building a base. The network continues to develop in the background, but price still needs confirmation before January can turn convincingly bullish.
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