Celestia just can’t seem to catch a break lately. After last week’s historic crypto crash that wiped out more than $19 billion in liquidations, the TIA price tried to bounce and actually pulled off a solid 15% rally on October 13.
That jump came as Layer-2 tokens surged and U.S.–China tensions cooled a bit. But the move didn’t last long. Now, TIA is back under pressure, trading around $1.09, down roughly 8% in the past 24 hours. The bulls are still struggling to find their footing.
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What’s Happening With TIA Price
The story behind TIA’s recent moves is a mix of macro trends and internal challenges. The whole market’s still shaky after that massive liquidation event, and Celestia has been hit by its own token-related issues too.
On October 5, the project unlocked 9.62 million TIA tokens, worth around $9.6 million, as part of a bigger $1B+ unlock wave that’s also affected projects like Aptos and Avalanche.
These unlocks increase supply, and when demand doesn’t catch up, prices tend to slip. That’s pretty much what we’ve seen with TIA.
Even the Polychain Capital exit earlier this year added some pressure. They sold their remaining 43 million TIA back to the Celestia Foundation, which plans to reallocate them through gradual unlocks until November.
So, while that might help long-term governance, short term, it’s adding uncertainty, and traders hate that.
What the TIA Chart Is Showing
If you look at the daily chart, Celestia price is still stuck in a clear downtrend. Each rally has been smaller than the last, creating a pattern of lower highs and lower lows.
Right now, there’s a key support zone around $1.00–$1.10, and the price is hovering dangerously close to it. Lose that, and the next stop could be somewhere near $0.85–$0.90, where buyers last showed interest.
On the other hand, if TIA can manage to bounce and hold above the 20-day SMA (around $1.64), we might finally see a shift in momentum. A clean break there could set up a push toward $2.00, but it’ll take real volume and market confidence to get there.
Market Indicators
The indicators tell a similar story, mostly neutral, but tilting bearish. The RSI is sitting around 56, meaning TIA isn’t oversold yet but doesn’t have strong buying momentum either.
The MACD looks flat, showing no clear crossover to spark a new move.
Open interest has dipped slightly, which tells us traders are pulling back rather than placing big bets. Shorts still outnumber longs, showing that most traders remain cautious.
There’s one small positive, though: funding rates have started to stabilize. That usually means the market is calming down and waiting for the next big signal.
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TIA Price Short-Term Outlook for Q4
So, what’s next for Celestia heading into Q4? In the short term, everything depends on whether Celestia price can hold that $1.00 support level. If it does, there’s a decent chance of a gradual recovery toward $1.60–$1.80, especially if we see some renewed buying volume.
But if the selling continues, or more unlocked tokens hit the market before demand picks up, we could easily see another leg down. A drop toward $0.90 or lower wouldn’t be out of the question.
For now, TIA price situation feels like a tug-of-war between supply pressure and recovery momentum. The fundamentals behind Celestia’s modular blockchain vision are still solid, but traders need to see stronger signs of accumulation before calling it a comeback.
Until then, TIA chart suggests this token might stay in grind mode a bit longer before any real breakout happens.
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