Solana price sits at $181 at the time of writing, with a market cap close to $98 billion. That puts SOL at rank #6 among all cryptocurrencies. The project has been one of the fastest climbers in the last few years, standing out for its speed, low fees, and growing role in decentralized finance and apps.
The question now is simple. What happens to Solana price if BlackRock decides to launch a SOL ETF?
What you'll learn 👉
Why a BlackRock-Backed ETF Would Matter for SOL
Exchange traded funds have changed crypto before. After Bitcoin got its first spot ETF, the price jumped more than 37% in just a few months. Ethereum’s ETF also brought in billions and made more investors confident to buy.
For Solana, an ETF would mean access to new pools of capital. Pension funds, asset managers, and banks would be able to buy SOL through a regulated product. That level of validation often changes the way mainstream finance treats a token. If BlackRock leads the charge, the effect could be even stronger.
BlackRock is the world’s largest asset manager, with more than $11 trillion under management. Its entry into crypto has already reshaped the market. In 2023, when it launched its Bitcoin ETF, Bitcoin hit fresh all-time highs and institutional buying became the dominant force in price action.
By early 2024, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF alone held more than $30 billion in assets. That single product shifted market liquidity and helped make Bitcoin less volatile. If the same playbook is applied to Solana, the flows could be massive. Institutional investors often chase new ETFs, especially in emerging sectors like blockchain.
Solana’s Strengths and Weaknesses Going Into an ETF
Solana has several strengths that make it an attractive candidate for an ETF. Its blockchain can process anywhere from 2,600 to more than 65,000 transactions per second. Fees remain close to $0.00025, compared to Ethereum’s average of $1 or more.
Developers are building actively on Solana, with $8.6 billion in DeFi locked up in Q2 2025, making it the second-largest chain in that sector after Ethereum.
At the same time, risks remain. The network has suffered outages that hurt its reliability. It also runs on fewer nodes than Ethereum, raising centralization concerns. On the regulatory front, the SEC has labeled Solana an unregistered security in past lawsuits, and any ETF approval has already been delayed until October 2025.
Solana Price Scenarios if an ETF Launches
Looking at today’s numbers, Solana’s $98 billion market cap is far below Ethereum’s $514–550 billion and Bitcoin’s more than $2 trillion. That gap leaves room for growth.
Short-term predictions vary. Pantera Capital believes SOL could rally toward $1,000 if an ETF is approved, pushed by institutional inflows and technical upgrades. Others, like Ben Armstrong, place the price between $400 and $500 in a regular bull run, with higher numbers possible if ETF demand squeezes supply.
Long-term views stretch even further. Finance Yahoo analysts see Solana price at around $1,042 by 2030 if adoption tracks Ethereum’s path. CoinCentral sets targets between $1,000 and $2,000, with a base case of $1,531 by late 2030.
From the predictions, it is obvious that to reach $1,000, Solana’s market cap would need to cross $500 billion, a level close to where Ethereum is now. That would require not just ETF inflows but also deep growth in DeFi, NFTs, and consumer applications built on Solana.
Read Also: How Much Could 2,000 Tokens of Dogecoin and Kaspa Be Worth by 2030?
Lessons From Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs
Bitcoin’s ETF approval drove the asset to new highs and brought in a steady wave of institutional money. Ethereum’s ETF pulled in billions within days, convincing analysts to lift their price targets toward $7,500 and even $10,000 if staking products are greenlit.
Solana could follow the same pattern, though with bigger hurdles. It has speed and cost advantages, but also network stability issues and heavier regulatory pressure. That mix of high upside and high risk makes the outcome less predictable but potentially more dramatic if things go in Solana’s favor.
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