Hedera (HBAR) trades at around $0.24 today, but what if one of the biggest asset managers in the world – BlackRock – decided to file for a Hedera ETF? While there’s no credible sign of that happening right now, the idea alone has the Hedera community thinking.
Let’s look at how such a move could impact HBAR’s price.
What you'll learn 👉
Why a BlackRock ETF Would Matter
When BlackRock steps into a crypto market, it sends a signal to traditional finance that the asset is “legit.” We saw it with Bitcoin and Ethereum in 2024 – ETF filings attracted huge inflows and brought new investors off the sidelines. A Hedera ETF could do the same, opening the door for pension funds, wealth managers, and retail traders who stick to regulated investment products.
Even without an ETF, Hedera has already attracted attention from major institutions. Earlier this year, the network hosted the tokenization of a BlackRock money market fund through Archax. Even though this wasn’t a direct ETF, it showed that big players are comfortable using Hedera’s network for serious financial infrastructure.
The Price Impact – What’s Possible?
To guess what might happen, we can look at how ETFs moved other crypto assets. Bitcoin rose roughly 70% in the months after BlackRock’s filing. Ethereum jumped more than 50% after its own ETF approval. Hedera is smaller in market cap, meaning it could see sharper percentage gains if demand spikes.
Here’s a speculative breakdown:
- Short-term (pre-approval hype) – If BlackRock filed tomorrow, the HBAR price could quickly run to the $0.40-$0.50 range as traders front-run the news.
- Mid-term (approval and first inflows) – With actual ETF buying pressure, HBAR could push into the $0.80-$1.00 zone.
- Long-term (if institutions adopt) – If Hedera gains real adoption in tokenized assets and the ETF becomes a core product for funds, prices above $2 wouldn’t be unrealistic in the current bull cycle.
That $2 level would be more than an 8x from here, putting HBAR’s market cap around $70 billion – high, but still far below Ethereum’s current valuation.
Read also: SEI Network vs Hedera HBAR: Which Altcoin Comes Out on Top?
Why It’s Still Just Speculation
It’s important to note: BlackRock hasn’t filed for a Hedera ETF. The closest link is its money market fund tokenization through Archax, which doesn’t equal an ETF application. For now, this is a “what if” scenario.
But if the day ever comes, the market’s reaction could be explosive. HBAR is already positioned as an enterprise-grade network for tokenization, payments, and compliance-focused applications – exactly the type of infrastructure traditional finance looks for.
Until then, $0.24 is the reality. But in crypto, reality can change very quickly.
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