Avalanche price is trading at about $24.89 right now, climbing more than 5% today. The move comes after Grayscale filed to convert its Avalanche Trust into a spot AVAX ETF on August 22, 2025. That filing has lit a fire under the community, with social media buzzing about what this could mean for the token’s future.
According to GROK AI, the reaction on X has been overwhelmingly bullish. More than 80% of posts from traders and influencers lean positive, with many comparing the potential impact to what happened when Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs were approved back in 2024.
What you need to know about $AVAX today..this is amazing move from @avax
— WONDAR-WEB3 (@WONDARFARMER) August 25, 2025
ETF Movement: Grayscale has filed an S‑1 with the SEC to convert its Avalanche Trust into a spot AVAX ETF, which, if approved, could significantly push the chart to break new all time high
The Current… pic.twitter.com/xzN8Z4i4lw
If you spend a few minutes scrolling through X, you’ll see just how excited people are. Traders point to Avalanche strong fundamentals, weekly transactions above 10.9 million, over $3 billion in DEX volume, and stablecoin inflows that are beating out Solana and Tron. Add in Avalanche’s progress in gaming and real-world assets, and the bullish tone makes sense.
Some voices are already predicting a run to $30 or $40 before the SEC even weighs in. Others are going much further, with one post throwing out a wild $500 target that feels more like a meme than a serious prediction. Still, the point is clear: people see an ETF as a game-changer for AVAX price.
Avalanche Price Prediction: Grayscale Files for AVAX ETF on Nasdaq – Could This Trigger a Run to $500?$BTC $ETH #Bitcoinhttps://t.co/ldZ0CZFG3x
— Blake Carter (@BlakeInCrypto) August 26, 2025
Not everyone is getting carried away, though. A few traders remind us that ETF approvals can take time and that markets sometimes follow the old “buy the rumor, sell the news” pattern. There’s also the fact that AVAX price is still down 82% from its ATH, which makes some investors cautious. But overall, the vibe across X is heavily bullish.
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Historical Precedents: Lessons From BTC and ETH ETFs
The comparisons to Bitcoin and Ethereum are hard to ignore. After Bitcoin’s ETF approval, the price jumped more than 80% in just a few months. Ethereum also saw a huge bump, gaining between 50–60% after its own ETF went live.
History shows us that when institutional money gets an easier way in, prices can move fast. Grayscale’s GBTC uplisting in 2024 brought in more than $1.4 billion a week in inflows, pushing BTC from around $40K to $73K.
If Avalanche can attract even a slice of that kind of demand, its market cap, currently around $10.6 billion, could climb quickly.
Read Also: This Massive Expansion Could Send Shiba Inu (SHIB) to New ATH Sooner Than Expected
Scenarios for AVAX Price Post-ETF
So what happens if the SEC gives the green light? Let’s look at a few scenarios.
In the optimistic case, approval comes quickly and big money flows in, just like it did for ETH. If that happens, AVAX could push into the $35 to $50 range in the short term, and possibly stretch toward $80 to $150 over the next year. That would put it right back near its all-time high of $146.
In a neutral case, approval might take longer and inflows could be smaller, maybe in the range of $500M to $1B. AVAX would still benefit, but the climb would be steadier. In this setup, the token could trade between $28 and $35 in the next few months, and $40 to $60 within a year.
The pessimistic case is the one no one wants, but it’s worth considering. If the SEC rejects or delays the ETF and the market sells the news, AVAX price could slip back toward $18 to $22 before stabilizing around $25 to $35 longer term.
Final Thoughts
The buzz around Avalanche is real. Grayscale’s spot ETF filing has given the community something big to rally around, and GROK AI’s analysis shows the majority of traders are leaning bullish.
People see this as a chance for Avalanche to get the same kind of institutional tailwinds that powered Bitcoin and Ethereum.
That said, ETF approvals don’t happen overnight, and short-term volatility is always a possibility. For now, AVAX price is holding around $25, and that price could be the starting point for much bigger moves if the ETF becomes reality.
If institutions pile in like they did with BTC and ETH, Avalanche could be on the verge of its next big chapter.
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