Hedera (HBAR) starts the week trading quietly, but there is plenty happening under the surface. A scheduled mainnet upgrade later this month keeps the network in focus, while Wyoming’s state-backed stablecoin initiative continues to lean on Hedera for international connectivity.
At the same time, institutional tokenization efforts tied to firms like Archax and BlackRock-linked funds are reinforcing Hedera’s long-term narrative.
Despite those developments, the HBAR price action remains cautious, with traders waiting for confirmation on the chart.
What you'll learn 👉
What the Hedera chart is showing
On the 4H chart, HBAR remains locked in a broader downtrend that began after the sharp breakdown earlier in the cycle. That large sell-off marked a structural shift, and price has struggled to reclaim previous support levels since. Over recent weeks, however, downside momentum has slowed noticeably.
The HBAR price is now trading in a tight consolidation zone, holding just above recent lows. Price has started forming a series of higher short-term reactions, but these moves lack follow-through.
This suggests sellers are no longer aggressive, yet buyers have not stepped in with conviction either. The structure currently favors sideways movement unless a clear breakout occurs.
What market indicators are saying
OBV is still very negative on balance, and this is a clear indicator that overall participation is not yet back. However, OBV has fallen into a flat pattern and is now stabilizing, which is a sign that a potential turn or a relief rally might soon happen.
ATR continues to trend lower after the earlier volatility spike, signaling compressed price action and reduced expansion. This typically occurs prior to a directional change, but it does not foretell the direction.
Funding rates remain flat and around neutral, implying a balanced use of leverage with no overcrowded positions.
The CCI has recently moved into oversold and has started to reverse and move back, showing waning downside momentum in the short run.
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HBAR price short-term outlook for this week
With Hedera trading around $0.1178, price is sitting directly in the middle of this range. The first level of support comes in at $0.115. As long as this level continues to support price action, there is no reason to expect any further sideway movements or breaks lower.
A clear break below $0.115 would bring about a test of $0.110 and further down to $0.105. Breaking below $0.100 would be a clear sign that a bearish impulse is underway and that any form of rebound is likely to be delayed.
On the flip side, the first level of resistance is close to $0.122. Crossing above that point would be the first indicator that the market is about to see the revival of buying pressure.
If that resistance is sustained, buy/sell alerts for the HBAR price may reach $0.128, followed by $0.132, which saw previous sell activity. After that, the next level to watch is $0.140, with stronger resistance sitting in the $0.150–$0.155 area.
For this week, HBAR is most likely to trade between $0.115 and $0.130. A move above $0.132 would improve the short-term picture, while a drop below $0.110 would keep the broader correction in place.
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