TAO is walking into its halving event right as the chart starts to look interesting again. After weeks of steady selling pressure, the TAO price is finally slowing down near a higher-timeframe support zone, and that timing isn’t going unnoticed.
Analyst Michaël van de Poppe believes this setup could be the spark that shifts TAO back into an uptrend. Zooming out, TAO has already done the hard part most assets need before a reset. It’s gone through a deep pullback, flushed out weak hands, and cooled off momentum.
Now, instead of aggressive sell-offs, the TAO price is starting to stabilize. That’s usually when traders stop asking how low it can go and start asking what could come next.
What you'll learn 👉
TAO Faces a Key Test at Its Daily Moving Average
Looking at the daily chart, the TAO price is sitting right under its short-term moving average, a level that’s rejected price multiple times during the downtrend.
Until now, every bounce has faded quickly. But this time feels a bit different. Instead of sharp rejections, TAO is consolidating just beneath resistance. The structure is flattening out, and downside momentum is clearly weaker.
Van de Poppe points out that if the TAO price can finally break above that daily MA and hold it, the bearish structure starts to fall apart. That’s often how reversals begin, quietly, before most of the market notices.
Read Also: Why Bittensor Halving May Not Boost TAO Price the Way Many Expect
Liquidity Above and the Halving Could Pull TAO Price Higher
Another thing standing out on the chart is the amount of liquidity sitting above current price. TAO hasn’t traded in the low $300s for a while, and markets tend to revisit areas like that once momentum shifts.
According to van de Poppe, if buyers step in after the halving and the TAO price clears resistance, a move toward $400 isn’t unrealistic. That zone lines up with prior price reactions and represents an area where liquidity could be taken quickly if sentiment flips bullish.
The halving adds an extra layer to this setup. Just like Bitcoin, TAO’s halving reduces the rate of new supply hitting the market. While halving events don’t always trigger immediate rallies, they often change how traders think about value, especially when technical conditions are already improving.
Van de Poppe sees TAO as one of the stronger assets heading into 2026, pointing to both the fundamentals of the Bittensor ecosystem and the impact of the halving itself. If price action confirms the breakout, the narrative could shift fast.
What’s Next for TAO?
At this point, it really comes down to follow-through. TAO needs to reclaim the daily moving average to prove buyers are back in control. If that happens after the halving, momentum could build quickly, and higher levels come back into focus.
If not, the market may need more time to base. Still, with support holding, liquidity overhead, and a major supply event right around the corner, TAO is clearly entering one of its most important phases in months.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for daily crypto updates, market insights, and expert analysis.
