The Avalanche (AVAX) price is finally showing the kind of movement traders have been waiting to see. After weeks of drifting lower inside a tight downtrend, the price is now starting to lift.
For the first time, this recent breakout has given the market a serious indication that AVAX might, in fact, try to turn the corner.
Below is a closer look at what analysts are seeing on the chart and how far AVAX might realistically go if this early recovery grows into a larger trend.
What the AVAX Chart Is Showing Right Now
CryptoPulse noted that the AVAX price has broken out of its descending channel, which has been guiding the price lower for most of the past month.
The next major step is reclaiming the previous short-term swing high at $15. If AVAX can close above that level and hold it, it would be the first clear sign that buyers are taking back control.
Right now, the Avalanche price is sitting just under that barrier. The chart shows stronger candles forming near the upper edge of the trendline, which usually hints that momentum is shifting. Once the $15 level breaks cleanly, traders expect the $20 area to become the next target.
Breaking out of the channel matters because it signals that the steady pattern of lower highs and lower lows is beginning to weaken. The recent increase in green volume tells the same story: buyers are slowly stepping back in. Instead of sliding lower each week, AVAX is now trying to build a base.
The structure still needs confirmation, but the early signs are there. If the AVAX price forms higher lows from this point forward and stays above the trendline it just broke, the setup becomes much stronger. This is the kind of behavior that often appears at the beginning of a reversal.
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How High AVAX Price Could Go in 2026
HEDONIST shared a valuation model from EdgenTech that outlines several possible paths for Avalanche over the next six to twelve months.
The model shows that strong development progress and a friendlier market could help Avalanche grow to a valuation in the $40–$50 billion range, which would mean a major recovery from where it trades today.
A more moderate outcome places Avalanche closer to the $15–$20 billion range if execution remains solid but the market stays uncertain. In a weaker market, Avalanche’s value could end up much lower, especially if money leaves the crypto space or if the project stops growing.
These possibilities show how many different outcomes AVAX could face in 2026, depending on whether people return to the network and whether the team continues to build as planned.
Here's the scenario @EdgenTech has provided for $AVAX for the next 6-12 months: pic.twitter.com/3os2Rowrk6
— HEDONIST (@HedonismTeam) December 9, 2025
Even so, the Avalanche price is now showing its first real signs of strength after months of falling. The breakout from the channel and the push toward the $15 level mark the first real change in momentum in weeks.
If bulls manage to flip that level into support, the door opens for a move toward the $20 zone and possibly more. The larger outlook will depend on market recovery and how fast Avalanche attracts new activity back into the network.
For now, though, this is the most promising structure the AVAX price has shown in a while – and traders are watching closely to see whether this small shift can grow into a full trend change.
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