Avalanche (AVAX) Price Hits Make-or-Break Level – Can It Finally Break Free From the Downtrend?

July 9, 2025

Avalanche (AVAX) Price Hits Make-or-Break Level – Can It Finally Break Free From the Downtrend?

Avalanche price is back at a familiar spot, right up against a major resistance level that’s proven tough to crack in the past. After weeks of sideways movement, the price is now hovering around the $20 to $22 range. This area has stopped several bullish moves before, and traders are watching closely to see if things will be different this time.

Veteran analyst Crypto Rand pointed out on X that AVAX price is “pushing on the main downtrend resistance” and suggested that a clean break above $20 could be the signal for a trend reversal. That’s the level many are now watching to confirm whether the bulls can finally flip the script.

Looking at the AVAX chart, a larger picture shows a long downtrend from the start of 2024, when AVAX was at about $60. The price has been in a clear lower highs and lower lows pattern since then. The downward trendline that started forming in February has been turning away each breakout try.

Right now, Avalanche price is testing that same trendline again. It’s at around $22, levels where previous rallies faded in April and May. Gaining momentum and both bulls and bears taking positions, the market could be headed towards a climactic move.

Avalanche Support and Resistance Zones Define the Setup

There are several key support zones on AVAX chart. The $15.50–$17.00 range has held as a base since May, offering buyers some footing.

Below that, the $10.50–$13.00 area is a long-term support area visited many times since 2023. On the upper side, resistance at $21.50–$22.50 overlaps with the declining trendline. A move beyond that level could open the door toward $24–$26, a former support zone turned potential supply.

The nearest resistance is $20–$21.50. From the formation here, a close above this range on a daily basis could reverse the trend and break up the lower-high formation that has dominated price action throughout the year.

Avalanche Price Momentum Hinges on Trendline Break

AVAX breaking out with volume could signal a new cycle in its pricing structure. The next significant levels would be $24–$26, then $29–$30.

But if AVAX price can’t break and falls below $19.50, the sellers will dominate and push the token back towards $17 or lower.

The downtrend line is still the major pivot point at this time. AVAX stands at a technical crossroads, and the next few days will determine its short-term direction.

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