Sonic (S) didn’t have the smoothest ride in the first quarter of 2025, and now investors are wondering what’s next. After reaching an all-time high of $1.03 on January 4, the Sonic price has steadily lost ground and is now trading around $0.40. Its Q1 peak near $0.75 didn’t hold for long, and the price has since followed a clear downward trend with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Like many altcoins, Sonic has been caught in the broader market slump. A shaky stock market and falling Bitcoin prices have put pressure on digital assets across the board. Even so, the Sonic community remains optimistic. On platforms like CoinMarketCap, most votes still lean bullish, showing that many holders are still confident in what’s ahead.
What you'll learn 👉
What’s Fueling Sonic’s Ecosystem in Q2?
Behind the scenes, Sonic’s fundamentals are showing steady progress. According to data from DeFiLlama, Sonic’s Total Value Locked (TVL) has crossed $1 billion, rising more than 21% in just a week. Compared to other Layer 1s like Sui and Aptos, Sonic reached this milestone much faster, within 66 days of launch.
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ICYMI: $S broke $1B in TVL in only 66 days.
— CryptoBusy (@CryptoBusy) April 1, 2025
That’s faster than $Sui, $APT, $SOL – basically every major L1.
So what’s fueling this insane growth?
Their Sonic Fee Program is the real alpha.
90% of gas fees go back to developers.
Not validators. Not foundation wallets. But… https://t.co/7QoCtckq81 pic.twitter.com/i28rR9ZEXH
The blockchain’s Fee Monetization (FeeM) program stands out. It redistributes up to 90% of gas fees back to developers, creating a strong incentive for building on the network. This model mirrors the Web2 ad-revenue structure but is designed for decentralized applications. More than 150 apps are already live, and 87 are actively using FeeM.
Partnerships are expanding too. A recent collaboration with AlchemyPay allows users in 173+ countries to purchase $S using local currencies. WOOFi, another DeFi platform, has fully joined the FeeM program, sharing $S rewards with its users.
What AI Predicts for Sonic in Q2 2025
We asked AI where Sonic price might be by the end of Q2. Here’s a look at the three forecast scenarios:
Pessimistic Scenario (~$0.31–$0.36)
If Bitcoin price continues to slide and investor sentiment weakens, the Sonic (S) price could drop toward its early 2025 lows around $0.34. In this case, macro pressure and profit-taking from early holders could push the token to retest $0.30. A break below that might send it further down to $0.26.
TVL might also stagnate or decline slightly if developers hold back on launching new apps. Without clear signs of growth, the market could remain cautious, and trading volume may decrease.
Realistic Scenario (~$0.45–$0.60)
In a more balanced market, Sonic price could rebound modestly. If the broader market stabilizes and Sonic keeps expanding its app ecosystem, the price could gradually recover toward $0.50 or higher. At least 200 apps are expected to enroll in FeeM this quarter, and if TVL remains above $900 million, investor confidence could improve.
This scenario depends on steady growth without any major setbacks or shocks. It also assumes developers continue to profit from the FeeM model, keeping user engagement high.
Optimistic Scenario (~$0.75–$0.95)
If the market shifts into a bullish phase and altcoins begin to rally, Sonic price could move toward its previous highs. A surge in TVL past $1.2 billion and strong performance from key applications could boost demand for $S.
Positive updates, institutional interest, or viral dApps using the Sonic network could lead to sharp price movement. If these align with a wider crypto market breakout, Sonic may even test its $1.03 all-time high again.
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