Kaspa has been one of the stronger altcoins over the past month, with KAS up roughly 50%, and analyst Yoriichi Tsugikuni thinks the current chart may be setting up for something much bigger.
Yoriichi compared Kaspa’s structure with Bitcoin before one of BTC’s major historical advances and argued that the two charts look surprisingly similar.
His point is not that Kaspa will repeat Bitcoin move-for-move, but that the current setup could be following a familiar pattern: a large early run, a long reset, and then another expansion phase.
What you'll learn 👉
Yoriichi Predicts a Bitcoin-Like Structure Forming on KAS
The chart overlays an earlier Kaspa cycle with Bitcoin’s historical price structure.
The similarity comes from the broad sequence.
Both charts show:
- an initial strong expansion,
- a major correction,
- a long period of rebuilding,
- and then a renewed move higher from a depressed base.
The Bitcoin portion of the chart marks a move of about 628% from the lower range into the next major peak.
Yoriichi is essentially asking whether Kaspa could now be approaching the same part of the cycle.
That would be a huge move if it played out.
Still, this type of comparison is best treated as a fractal, not a forecast. Markets rarely repeat perfectly, and Kaspa’s liquidity, adoption, market cap, and investor base are very different from Bitcoin’s at the time of that historical move.
Why the Setup Is Getting More Attention Now
The timing of Yoriichi’s post is interesting because Kaspa’s network has changed significantly in recent months.
The recent Tokata hard fork added a new programmability layer through:
- programmable UTXOs,
- covenants,
- native zero-knowledge verification.
That moves Kaspa further away from being viewed only as a fast Proof-of-Work payments network.
The bigger ambition now is to become a programmable base layer where developers can build more advanced applications directly on the network.
That gives the current price move a stronger fundamental story than KAS had during some earlier rallies.
Read also: How High Can Kaspa (KAS) Price Go in October
Silverscript Opens the Door to More Applications
Another important development came with the release of Silverscript 1.0 in September.
The tooling allows developers to build things such as vaults and escrow systems, which gives Kaspa more practical programmability.
That is important because one of the biggest questions around Kaspa has always been whether its technical architecture can translate into actual applications and user activity.
Tokata and Silverscript bring the network closer to that point.
The technology is now more capable.
The next step is proving that developers and users actually show up.
The Main Problem: Usage Has Not Caught Up Yet
This is the biggest weakness in the bullish case.
Kaspa’s technology has improved quickly, but network activity has not yet expanded at the same pace.
That creates a disconnect between what the network can now do and what people are actually doing with it.
For KAS to sustain a much larger valuation, the market will probably want to see more than upgrades and technical potential.
It will need stronger application activity, more users, deeper liquidity, and clear demand for the new programmable features.
That is why the next phase of Kaspa’s development may be more important than the hard fork itself.
Could KAS Reach $0.50?
The recent price recovery has brought $0.50 back into the conversation as a larger upside target.
A move there would still be substantial from current levels, but it is far less extreme than directly projecting Bitcoin’s full 600% historical run onto Kaspa.
The $0.50 area makes sense as an important test because it would show that the market is assigning a much higher value to Kaspa’s new programmable direction.
Beyond that, a Bitcoin-like move would need much stronger confirmation from both price and network growth.
Kaspa Price Outlook
Yoriichi’s chart is certainly interesting.
The structural similarity with Bitcoin is visible, especially when looking at the broader cycle rather than individual candles.
But the strongest part of Kaspa’s current story may be what is happening underneath the chart.
Tokata has expanded what developers can build. Silverscript has added useful tools. KAS has already risen around 50% in a month.
Now the network needs usage to follow.
If activity starts catching up with the technological progress, the Bitcoin comparison will become much more interesting.
For more crypto news and price predictions, click here.
Subscribe to our YouTube channel for daily crypto updates, market insights, and expert analysis.
