Solana is entering the next bull run from a much stronger usage base, but it is also carrying more speculative activity. The SOL price is down 5.14% to $99.12 after rejection around $106–$107 and a break below the key $100 level, with macro pressure ahead of CPI adding to the selling.
Yet the network has grown far beyond its previous cycle, with RWA holders reaching 510,242 from fewer than 10,000 in early 2025 and more than 263,000 SPL tokens minted in one day, far above the 40,000–50,000 daily peak during December 2024.
Institutional demand is also entering the picture through Bitwise purchases and U.S. Solana ETF inflows. With Alpenglow and faster transaction infrastructure ahead, we asked ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini where the Solana price could reach at the next bull market peak.
What you'll learn 👉
ChatGPT Predicts the SOL Price at the Bull Market Peak
ChatGPT gives the widest range, placing the Solana price at $250–$350 in a bear case, $450–$600 in its base case and $700–$1,000+ in an aggressive bull case.
Its middle target is based on several measurable developments: RWA holders have reached 510,242, Bitwise has accumulated more than $107 million worth of SOL across 20 trading sessions, and U.S. Solana ETFs recorded $11.73 million in net inflows on September 9. That gives SOL more institutional demand than it had during much of the previous cycle.
Network upgrades also form part of ChatGPT’s higher valuation case. Transaction V1 increased the maximum serialized transaction size from 1,232 bytes to 4,096 bytes, and Alpenglow is targeted for October 2026 with a planned finality time of about 150 milliseconds.
Governance changes could also reduce the rate of new SOL issuance, with SGP-0002 doubling the annual disinflation rate from 15% to 30%. Based on these factors, ChatGPT sees $450–$600 as the most reasonable middle-ground range, with $700–$1,000+ requiring a much stronger crypto cycle.
Claude Predicts a More Conservative Solana Price
Claude is less bullish, putting its central SOL price estimate around $340–$360 and its full peak range at $280–$420. Its reasoning starts with Solana’s previous all-time high near $260 and assumes a higher cycle peak of roughly 30–70% above that level if the fundamental base continues to improve.
Claude also gives weight to RWA adoption, which has grown from fewer than 10,000 holders in January 2025 to more than 510,000 by September 2026.
Alpenglow is the main variable in Claude’s model. A successful deployment around October, delivering approximately 150ms finality, could move SOL toward the upper end of the range. Delays or technical problems would make $280–$320 more plausible. Claude also sees $500+ as possible, but it would require a broad market mania or Solana taking a much larger share of institutional activity.
Related Solana News: We Asked 3 AI Models if Solana (SOL) Price Can Ever Reach $1,000
Gemini Predicts the Highest Base-Case Solana Price
Gemini has the most bullish base case, projecting a SOL price of $550–$720 at the peak, with $850–$1,100+ in its bull scenario. Its model combines the 510,242 RWA holders, more than $918 million in Bitwise SOL holdings, Solana’s larger transaction capacity and the planned 150ms Alpenglow finality. Gemini also factors in the faster disinflation path from SGP-0002.
The key difference is the valuation assigned to these developments. Gemini estimates that Solana could reach a $325–$425 billion market cap in its base case, compared with roughly $110 billion at the previous cycle peak.
That requires a much larger valuation expansion, so its $550–$720 target carries more assumptions than Claude’s $280–$420 range.
Could Solana Break $500 Before the Bull Run Ends?
Yes, but the data does not make $500 a guaranteed outcome. At $500, Solana would be worth roughly five times its present $99.12 price, and its market cap would need to rise substantially from its current level.
The case for $500 includes 510,242 RWA holders, institutional SOL purchases, ETF inflows, larger transaction capacity and the potential 150ms finality from Alpenglow.
The counterargument is just as important. The SOL price has already fallen below $100 after failing to clear $106–$107, showing that macro conditions can still dominate the coin’s fundamentals.
The record 263,000 SPL tokens created in one day also indicates that speculative activity is very high. If liquidity remains weak, Alpenglow is delayed, ETF demand fades or Bitcoin fails to sustain a major bull cycle, SOL could remain below $500. So $500 is possible, but it should be treated as an upper-middle or bullish scenario rather than the default target.
Our Solana Price Outlook for the Next Bull Run
Our three SOL price paths balance the AI forecasts with the data available today.
Bear path:
$250–$350. This range becomes possible if macro conditions remain restrictive, institutional inflows weaken and Alpenglow fails to deliver the expected performance. It would still put SOL well above $99.12 but below the higher targets from ChatGPT and Gemini.
Base path:
$400–$600. This is the most balanced range if RWA adoption continues from the current 510,242 holders, institutional demand remains positive, Solana upgrades are delivered as planned and the broader crypto market enters another strong expansion. The $500 level falls inside this range.
Bull path:
$700–$1,000+. This requires a strong Bitcoin-led market, sustained ETF demand, rapid RWA growth and successful Alpenglow deployment. The upper end would require Solana to command a much larger valuation than its previous cycle peak, making this a high-risk but possible outcome.
Across the three AI models, the biggest difference is how much value they assign to Solana’s institutional adoption and upcoming infrastructure upgrades. Claude is the most conservative at $280–$420, ChatGPT places its base case at $450–$600, and Gemini expects $550–$720.
For the SOL price, the $400–$600 zone provides the most balanced middle ground given the current data, but the path to that target depends heavily on macro liquidity and whether Solana can turn its growing network activity into sustained demand for SOL.
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