XRP has spent weeks under pressure, and the recent price action has left many wondering whether another leg lower is about to begin. Fresh data shared by crypto analyst Ali Charts paints a far more interesting picture. Two uncommon technical patterns have appeared at the same time, and history shows they often arrive close to important turning points.
That does not guarantee a rally. Another set of on chain metrics tells a more complicated story, especially after whale wallets moved millions of XRP over the past few days. The next move may depend on whether buyers can defend one crucial support level.
Ali Charts pointed to two technical signals that have appeared together on the daily XRP price chart.
The first comes from the Tom DeMark Sequential indicator. The indicator printed a “9” buy signal, which has historically appeared before relief rebounds that usually last between 1 and 4 daily candles.
The second signal is the Morning Star Doji candlestick pattern. Technical analysts often look for this formation near market bottoms because it can indicate that selling pressure is beginning to fade.
Neither pattern guarantees that XRP will rally. Both simply increase the probability that buyers could attempt to regain control if enough demand enters the market.
2/6 On the daily chart, the Tom DeMark Sequential indicator has flashed a buy signal for $XRP. This specific pattern historically signals a brief one-to-four-day candlestick relief rebound.https://t.co/jnSfcPsvRi
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) June 30, 2026
Ali Charts believes a successful rebound could send the XRP price toward $1.27 before testing $1.35. Everything depends on whether buyers defend the current support zone first.
What you'll learn 👉
Rising XRP Network Activity Meets Heavy Whale Selling
Technical signals only tell part of the story. Blockchain activity has also changed noticeably during the past 2 weeks.
Ali Charts noted that daily active XRP addresses climbed from roughly 23,000 on June 14 to almost 40,000. That represents close to a 50% increase in network activity.
Normally, rising active addresses can point to improving network participation. Another metric creates uncertainty, though.
Ali Charts revealed that whale wallets distributed more than 30 million XRP during the last 5 days. Large transfers like these sometimes indicate that major holders are moving coins toward exchanges.
That creates two very different interpretations.
- Daily active addresses increased from about 23,000 to nearly 40,000.
- Whale wallets distributed more than 30 million XRP within 5 days.
- Buyers now need to absorb that selling pressure before a stronger recovery can develop.
Those conflicting signals explain why the current XRP price structure remains so important.
XRP Price Faces Its Biggest Test Around The $1.06 Support Level
Ali Charts believes $1.06 has become the most important price level on the XRP chart.
On chain data from the UTXO Realized Price Distribution model shows that more than 830 million XRP previously changed hands near this level. Heavy historical trading activity often creates areas where buyers and sellers become very active again.
Ali Charts outlined two possible scenarios.
| XRP Price Level | Possible Outcome |
|---|---|
| Above $1.06 | Buy signal remains valid. XRP could recover toward $1.27 and $1.35. |
| Below $1.06 | Selling pressure may increase. Next support zones sit near $0.80, $0.62 and $0.51. |
Ali Charts also explained that XRP recently met resistance near the upper boundary of its trading channel. Price has started moving back toward the middle of that range, which lines up closely with the $0.70 to $0.80 area if selling continues.
XRP Technical Indicators Are Slowly Moving Back Toward Neutral
Another interesting development comes from several widely followed momentum indicators. Most of them have moved away from deeply bearish conditions and now sit inside neutral territory.
That does not confirm a new uptrend. It does show that bearish momentum has weakened compared with previous weeks.
The Relative Strength Index currently reads 31.27. That sits close to oversold territory, which often leaves room for buyers to step back into the market.
The Stochastic oscillator stands at 14.51. Although still weak, the indicator has entered neutral territory instead of flashing an outright bearish signal.
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The Williams Percent Range also remains deep near oversold conditions at negative 89.90. Markets sometimes begin recovering after readings reach these levels if buying demand increases.
Bull Bear Power remains slightly negative, although selling pressure has eased compared with earlier declines.
The Ultimate Oscillator sits at 42.65, another neutral reading that shows neither buyers nor sellers hold complete control.
MACD remains the only major indicator that still shows a sell signal. That means confirmation from price action would still strengthen any bullish case.
| Indicator | Value | Current Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Relative Strength Index (14) | 31.27 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14,3,3) | 14.51 | Neutral |
| MACD (12,26) | -0.05148 | Sell |
| Williams Percent Range (14) | -89.90 | Neutral |
| Bull Bear Power | -0.07853 | Neutral |
| Ultimate Oscillator (7,14,28) | 42.65 | Neutral |
Several indicators now point toward stabilization instead of continued weakness. Strong buying volume would still need to appear before the XRP price can challenge higher resistance levels again. That is why the next few trading sessions could become especially important. Buyers now have a clearly defined level to defend, and whether that support holds may determine if XRP begins another recovery or extends its current decline.
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