Kaspa (KAS) is starting January 2026 in a quiet but important spot. The network closed December with a solid set of updates, including a new HTX listing and fresh on-chain activity, yet the price has not reacted in a big way. The KAS price now trades around $0.04265, stuck in a tight range after a long pullback.
Price action looks tired rather than broken. The selling pressure that defined the last few months has slowed, and the market is now waiting for a reason to move in either direction.
However, the Kaspa price is still feeling the weight of its broader downtrend. Over the past 90 days, price is down about 46%, and December mostly played out as consolidation above $0.04.
The HTX listing added new liquidity and opened access to a large Asian user base, but it also introduced margin trading, which kept volatility elevated.
At the same time, Kaspa’s ecosystem continues to expand with tools like K Social and higher transaction throughput after the Crescendo upgrade. For now, fundamentals are improving faster than price.
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What the Kaspa Chart Is Showing
On the 4h chart, Kaspa remains in a clear downtrend that began in October. Lower highs are still in place, and every bounce so far has been sold into.
That said, the structure has changed. The sharp sell-off in October was followed by weeks of sideways movement rather than another leg down. The KAS price has been rotating between roughly $0.041 and $0.045, with buyers consistently stepping in near the $0.040–$0.042 area.
This kind of action usually signals balance. Sellers are no longer in full control, but buyers are not ready to push price higher yet.
A clean break above $0.048 would be the first sign that the trend is shifting. Until then, Kaspa remains in recovery mode, not an uptrend.
What Market Indicators Are Saying
Momentum oscillators portray a similar indecision. The RSI on a 4-hour graph is in the lower 30s. The indicator is nearing an oversold reading, but there isn’t a strong indication of bull divergent signals yet. This implies a slowing of downward pressure, not a reversal.
The CCI stays highly negative and volatile and matches the price movement behavior that has been choppy and has exhibited temporary reversals.
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The OBV has also consolidated after a long period of decline. The volume is not declining but nor is it increasing. It indicates a halt in the distribution process but not a buying process.
Williams %R remains fluctuating between the oversold and neutrality regions, confirming that Kaspa’s market is range-bound rather than trending. Overall, the market indicators are supportive of the consolidation phase and not the breakout phase.
KAS Price Short-Term Outlook for January 2026
Throughout January, KAS is likely to stay in the same range unless the overall market gives it some direction.
As long as the Kaspa price remains above $0.040, there seems little risk. Support beneath that level would focus interest on the $0.036-$0.038 area again, where there had been purchasing interest before.
On the positive side, a move past $0.045 may lead to a test of $0.048. That zone remains a strong resistance area unless trading volume starts to increase.
For now, the KAS price is stabilizing. The network continues to build, but price still needs confirmation before any meaningful January rally can develop.
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