The TAO recent price action looks dramatic at first glance, but in context, it is something traders have seen many times before.
Analyst Crypto Patel stated that TAO rallied more than 200% before topping out near $539. From there, the TAO price pulled back roughly 50%, and it is now trading around $296, which puts it about 65% below its all-time high.
After a move that strong, a reset like this is not unusual. In fact, it often ends up being necessary for the trend to continue.
On the chart, the TAO price has now fallen back into an area where the market usually decides what comes next. This is the zone where strong trends either reload or break down completely.
What you'll learn 👉
The TAO Zone That Decides Everything
Patel points to the $262–$215 range as the most important area on the chart right now. This zone lines up with the 0.618 to 0.786 Fibonacci retracement and also overlaps with a clear bullish order block. In simple terms, this is where buyers previously showed up with conviction.
As long as the TAO price stays above this area, the bigger structure remains healthy. Price moving sideways or grinding here would indicate accumulation rather than panic selling.
After a 50% correction, that kind of behavior usually means weak hands have already been flushed out. At the same time, this range gives traders very clear boundaries. There is no guesswork about where the line is drawn.
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When the Risk Profile Changes
If TAO loses $262, the next area to watch sits near $215, which marks the deeper end of the Fibonacci retracement. A move into that zone would still fit within a normal pullback.
The real warning sign comes if the TAO price starts accepting below $228. Acceptance below that level would signal that the structure is breaking down, not just correcting.
In that case, downside risk opens up much more than most expect, with the possibility of a much deeper drawdown, potentially even below $100. That is why this support zone matters so much.
What Comes Next for TAO?
Despite the sharp correction, Patel’s broader outlook has not changed. From a higher-timeframe perspective, the altcoin expansion phase still supports the idea that the TAO price could eventually reach the $1,000–$2,000 range.
That scenario depends on this pullback holding as a reset rather than turning into a full trend reversal. For now, it really comes down to levels. Hold the $262–$215 zone and the setup favors continuation. Lose it, and the risk increases quickly. As Patel puts it, levels first, emotions last.
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