Kaspa price has been under some pressure lately, but October could be the month where things start to shift.
The project is still making noise in the blockchain space with its focus on speed and simplicity, and now the price is hovering around key levels that could decide whether the next move is up or down.
Kaspa has always built its identity around being neutral, minimal, and fast at the Layer 1 level. That philosophy was highlighted again by analyst BankQuote, who pointed out that Kaspa succeeds because it lets market forces handle scarcity instead of trying to control it with artificial thresholds.
"Kaspa wins by keeping L1 neutral, minimal, and fast and letting economics surface only under real scarcity. A reference-node fee threshold (especially with a shipped default and a peer-query RPC) changes behavior without changing consensus, which is exactly why it’s risky: it…
— BaN𐤊ℚuOτE (@BankQuote_DAG) September 30, 2025
He also warned that introducing fee mechanisms or extra policy settings could risk censorship, manipulation, and herding behavior. In his view, Kaspa’s strength comes from resisting those changes and keeping the base layer clean, which is what helps it stand apart from other projects.
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What the KAS Chart Is Showing
On the 4H chart, Kaspa price has been sliding since late August when it peaked around $0.09. Since then, the price has struggled to stay above $0.08 and is now trading close to $0.075.
That level matters a lot, because it has acted as a strong support zone multiple times this month. If it breaks, there’s a chance KAS could revisit $0.072, which was already tested and held earlier in the month.
The overall pattern has been one of lower highs, showing that sellers are still leaning on the price.
But the fact that KAS price hasn’t collapsed further despite constant pressure suggests that someone might be accumulating quietly in the background. A push back toward $0.085 and eventually $0.09 would be the first sign that buyers are trying to regain control.
Market Indicators
The RSI is sitting around 40, which tells us that KAS is leaning toward oversold territory but hasn’t fully dipped into it yet. That leaves some room for more downside before a stronger bounce comes into play.
Open interest is holding steady at around $464 million, showing that traders are keeping their positions open without big shakeouts.
Net longs are weak but ticking higher, and shorts are ticking up, which shows caution in the market.
In the meantime, the MACD is flattening against the zero line, which shows a lack of clear momentum in either direction. If the indicator does make a dramatic cross upwards, it might be one of the first signs that a rebound is on its way.
Read Also: The Weird Reason Why XRP Price Could 10x Soon
KAS Price Short-Term Outlook for October
In the short term, Kaspa’s fate is whether it can maintain the $0.075 support level. If it does, the door is ajar for a rally to $0.085 or even $0.09. Getting through $0.09 convincingly might reconstitute bullish pressure and have $0.10 back in contention.
On the flip side, if $0.072 doesn’t hold, then KAS price might slide toward $0.07 or lower, which would keep it stuck in its wider accumulation range for a while longer. That wouldn’t necessarily break the bigger picture, but it would delay hopes of a stronger breakout.
Kaspa’s long-term story still revolves around its philosophy of being neutral, scalable, and resistant to over-engineering. As BankQuote explained, that’s what makes the project unique. The key question for October is whether buyers will step up to turn that strong foundation into upward price action.
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