Toncoin price is holding steady despite a shaky broader market. While Bitcoin and other majors slipped ahead of the August 12 US CPI report, TON managed to keep its footing and even caught the attention of Coinbase Ventures.
The charts and fundamentals are painting an interesting picture for what could happen next, especially as we look toward the end of 2025.
What you'll learn 👉
Toncoin Chart Analysis: Price Action and Market Structure
TON price has been in a broad channel formation higher since early July, where the higher highs are continually made in the $6.20–$6.40 region. After its high just below $7.50 toward the end of July, the price corrected but came back strongly near $6.35, where there was intense buying by the buyers.
The latest rally effort on the 4H chart is testing the mid-channel resistance at $6.95. A breakout above $7 could retest July’s highs, while a rejection could bring TON back toward the $6.50 area.
Volume jumped nearly 39% in the past 24 hours to $296M – a notable increase considering the price stayed flat. This kind of activity often hints at accumulation by large players rather than broad retail buying.
Open interest is up slightly, suggesting more traders are entering new positions rather than closing old ones.
Net long positions are gradually increasing after a mid-July dip, showing growing bullish conviction.
Meanwhile, net shorts remain steady, meaning sellers haven’t added significant pressure despite TON’s resilience.
TON Fundamental Tailwinds and Risks
On August 11, TON Foundation reported that Coinbase Ventures purchased TON tokens directly from Telegram, along with Sequoia and Paradigm, as well-known holders.
While the scope of the purchase was not provided, it is an institutional belief in TON’s long-term potential. This kind of activity reduces perceived risk for retail investors and can ultimately result in a Coinbase listing.
It also strengthens TON “crypto for the masses” positioning through Telegram’s vast network of over 1 billion users and its mini-app ecosystem. Traders should watch for confirmation of Coinbase Custody support or listing timelines, as either could serve as a strong catalyst.
While TON price held steady, the broader market fell 2% ahead of the US CPI release. This divergence suggests TON’s move was coin-specific and driven by dedicated buyers.
However, high volume without a decisive price breakout leaves room for profit-taking if macro data spooks the market. This accumulation phase may be setting up for a bigger move, but macro sentiment will still play a role in whether that breakout holds.
Read Also: Here’s Why Pump.Fun (PUMP) Price Up Today?
We Asked ChatGPT for a Toncoin Price Prediction for December 2025
Given the combination of technical resilience and strong institutional interest, we asked ChatGPT to take a bold swing at predicting where TON price might land by the end of the year.
ChatGPT’s Toncoin Price Prediction:
If TON can maintain its current channel and secure a breakout above $7.50 in the coming weeks, the path toward $10 becomes realistic within the next 12 months.
By December 2025, with continued adoption through Telegram mini-apps, possible Coinbase listing, and further institutional backing, TON price could be trading in the $11–$14 range.
In a more aggressive scenario where TON captures substantial retail adoption via Telegram’s ecosystem and benefits from a strong 2025 bull cycle, a push toward $15–$17 isn’t out of the question.
On the flip side, failure to hold above $6 support in the months ahead could send TON price back toward $5, delaying any major run until late 2026.
GPT’s bet? Institutional backing plus Telegram integration keeps TON among the top-performing large caps into next year, making double-digit prices in 2025 a strong possibility.
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